Studies On The Factors Affecting The Epidemic Rick Control Of The Livestock Industry In Henan Province

An outbreak of HSN1 epidemic in some provinces from January to March 2004 shows the weaknesses of the current animal epidemic prevention and control system in China. It is therefore urgent to build an effective animal epidemic prevention and control system.Henan province is a major base of animal production, consumption and trade, where a sustained and stable development of livestock industry is of great practical significance for that of the province and even the whole country. Animal epidemic prevention and control is a key factor that affects sustained and stable development of the livestock industry.In this thesis, factors affecting the animal epidemic prevention and control in Henan Province are deeply analyzed by a method combined of a questionnaire survey and mathematical analysis and some advices and suggestions are made to improve the animal epidemic prevention and control systemStrategy in this thesis is followed. firstly, indexes affecting the animal epidemic prevention and control in Henan province are constructed by using the theory of risk analysis based on the survey and the experience of the domestic and foreign animal epidemic prevention and control system. Then a fuzzy evaluation model of the risk of the livestock industry is proposed by using some mathematical methods mainly including the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) based on the above indexes. At last, real examples are used to prove the practicality of the model.According to the strategy, five parts are included in this thesis.In the first part, an introduction is given to simply review the background, significance and the latest domestic and foreign progress of the related fields of the research.In the second part, the current situation of the livestock industry and the animal epidemic prevention and control system in Henan province is analyzed. Problems of the system are found by the analysis the survey on the livestock industry and the animal epidemic prevention and control system in Henan province.In the third part, firstly, indexes affecting the animal epidemic prevention and control in Henan province are constructed by using the theory of risk analysis based on the survey and the experience of the domestic and foreign animal epidemic prevention and control system. Then a fuzzy evaluation model of the risk of the livestock industry is proposed by using some mathematical methods mainly including the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) based on the above indexes. At last, real examples are used to prove the practicality of the model.In the fourth part, the experience of the domestic and foreign animal epidemic prevention and control system is studied.In the last part, some suggestions and advices in policy are given for three perspectives of the government, aquaculture enterprises and farmers to improve the current animal epidemic prevention and control system.