Research On Evaluation And Countermeasure Of Transport Vehicles Security Situation In Heilongjiang Province

Along with the construction and development of our country's highway transportation industry and the transportation infrastructure, the traffic environment and road safety have already caused the people's high value. In recent years, the death numbers of our country's road traffic accident keeps on a significant growth. All transportation activities are all an occurrence in this complicated comprehensive system of person- car- road- environment. There are a lot of problems in the analysis of the traffic accident reason, particularly in the prevention technique and countermeasures of the traffic accident.Heilongjiang province lies in the cold zone and the ice snow period lasts 4-5 months, so the road drive condition is particularly bad, in recent years, the road traffic safety situation is gradually rigorous, the death toll and direct economies lose because of the traffic accident are increasing in successive years, and in predictable several years of future, if effective improvement measures are not adopted, this kind of condition may still keep on. The traffic transportation is the foundation and guarantee of the development of national economy, automobile transportation is an important component, safety transportation are not only related to the province's transportation industry and social economic healthy and positive development, and still related to the life and property safety of the majority of people.Therefore, specially establishing a subject to research this province's the evaluation of automobile transport safety situation and the technique countermeasures , not only can effectively promote management efficiency of transport related management section, but also can significantly raise the management level of transportation safety of each kind of transportation business enterprise.This paper based on the investigation and analysis of the present development condition and safe situation of the automobile transportation in Heilongjiang province, makes an evaluation to the current security situation automobile transportation in this province, and predicts the future security situation of automobile transportation in this province. Combining the management target of transportation safety of this province, with factor analysis, makes security countermeasures of automobile transportation in various aspects. The concrete research contents of this paper are as follows:1. Carries on investigation to the development present condition of the transport station, possession quantity of transportation automobiles, and transportation enterprise and transportation economy in the province of Heilongjiang to analyze the present development condition of automobile transportation.2. Establishes the consideration factors of the evaluation of automobile transportation security situation, and carries on an evaluation to the objective circumstance of these factors in the province of Heilongjiang, qualitatively analyzes the present safe situation. Selects the index sign system to evaluate the safe situation of this province transportation, quantitatively analyzes the present safe situation.3. Looks after both sides of fuzziness and comprehensiveness characteristics of the evaluation; asks for help from the fuzzy theory to build up the fuzzy and comprehensive evaluation model for the first step. By comparison and analysis to the common used prediction methods, carries on prediction to the safe situation with exponential smoothing method.4. By factor analysis, makes safety countermeasures with various aspects, mainly include the personnel driver training, the vehicle standard control, the safety driving technique and some related techniques.