Traffic Volume Prediction And Service Level Analysis Of Kun-Chu Highway

Traffic volume prediction and service level analysis are the most important components of the post evaluation, which, based on the existing date, does the research to analyze and to predict the traffic volume and service level in the future. We can find out whether the prediction, assessment and conclusion of the traffic volume in the feasibility study of road projects is correct or not by the comparison of it and feasibility study report, and by analyzing the reasons and learning lessons, there will be a basis for the improvement of road projects feasibility study and similar projects policy decision and construction. Traffic volume prediction and service level analysis investment decisions are efficient method to improve the highway investment and decision making and management. Besides, it is significant and meaningful to the highway planning and post evolution after it's building.This paper aims at analyzing traffic volume prediction and service level analysis of Kun-Chu highway, trying to find out a method that suits traffic volume prediction and service level analysis in our country, hoping to give some advice and assistance in traffic prediction and service level analysis, and to promote the health, stable and rapid development of highway construction projects. Contents are as follows:1. Analysis will be made on traffic flow detection of Kun-Chu highway. At first, it introduces the concept of traffic flow detection and survey methods.And then, it is the Kun-Chu highway that the survey of traffic flow detection will focus on, thus getting relevant statistic. Finally, findings will be made about the traffic flow detection of Kun-Chu highway.2. Deep research will be made on traffic volume of Kun-Chu highway. At first, it focuses the prediction method of Kun-Chu highway traffic volume on"four-stage method", which nails down the basic theory, content, and procedures; And then, this chapter will apply the "four-stage method" to analyze the relevant date of Kun-Chu highway to forecast the traffic volume of Kun-Chu highway. By doing this, it predicts the predictive figure of traffic volume at different section in the typical years.3. Analysis will be made on the capacity and service level. Firstly, this chapter will identify the calculation method of the basic section in Kun-Chu highway, clearing service level classification, proposing primary indexes on the evaluation of service level; And then, there will be an analysis of the capacity and service level of Kun-Chu highway based on the result of the predictive traffic volume of it, thus getting the service level grade on various section of Kun-Chu highway in the following typical years.This paper is a part of traffic science and technology projects in Yunnan Province, The Study of Post Evaluation and Index System on High-Grade Pavement in Yunnan.