Safety Analysis Of Non-motor Vehicle In Bus Stop Based On TCT

The non-motor vehicle riders without cabin protected are the vulnerable group in traffic. With the rapid development of automobile industry, the traffic space of non-motor vehicles is increasingly occupied and the traffic environment and safety grows severer. Bus stops are the important parts of bus traffic system and the bus stop without vehicle-bicycle isolation is a potential point which tends to have traffic accident. So conducting safety analysis of non-motor vehicles in the bus stop and making corrective measurements has positive meaning to reduce accidents and increase road safety.The paper first separately analyzed the characteristics of the non-motor vehicle and bus stop. Then the TCT (Traffic Conflict Technology) was used to analyze the potential routes of non-motor vehicle at the bus stop and the possible traffic conflicts. Based on the data of 10 bus stops in Beijing, the influence analysis of the four factors (the width of the non-vehicle lane, parking gap distance, distance to the nearest intersection and MPCU) to the three kinds of conflicts for the non-motor vehicle at the bus stop was made and the conflict anticipation model was built. The paper set the assessment standards with the grey theory and got he safety assessment model.In the end the non-motor vehicle safety at two bus stops were assessed with the conflict anticipation model and improving suggestions were made.