| In China,the conflict between rapid economic expansion and environmental protection is becoming more pronounced,and the societal concerns posed by pollution have become the principal concern of environmental policymakers.Environmental social risk is complex,varied,and unpredictable,necessitating greater ability to systematically detect,monitor,and warn of it.The health effects of outdoor air pollution are used as a case study in this study,which examines environmental social risk using risk amplification theory and a risk assessment framework.We identify characteristics of environmental social risk and the impact of online news media on public risk perception using evidence-based management and content analysis methods;we confirm the social amplification effect of environmental social risk using event study and qualitative comparative analysis methods;and we use time series and statistical process control approaches to anticipate,monitor,and warn about environmental social hazards;Finally,we present an integrated environmental risk management model to systematically and thoroughly manage environmental social risks.The first step was to determine the environmental health effect using the scoping review approach.Respiratory disorders,chronic diseases,and mortality were the most common health outcomes linked to outdoor air pollution.The content analysis method was used to discover that Chinese news media did not efficiently and appropriately communicate news pertinent to environmental health impacts,obstructing public understanding of scientific findings and increasing public panic.Then,by evaluating the documentary "Under the Dome," the event study approach was applied to examine the social risk amplification effect of environmental catastrophes.We used a qualitative comparative analysis approach to discover the key element that causes environmental events by collecting 20 typical environmental occurrences in China.The findings revealed that public risk perception,information rumors,and a lack of government trust are all necessary circumstances for environmental social risks to occur.Next,using Baidu search index time series data,we projected,monitored,and warned about environmental health impact,filtered and discovered keywords relevant to environmental health impact,and predicted environmental health impact.To warn about environmental concerns,environmental health impact-related keywords were analyzed using a statistical process control method.The findings indicated that the monitor and alert model for environmental social risk that we developed was accurate.Finally,an integrated risk management paradigm for the environment was proposed.A more systematic,real-time,and complete environmental risk warning system was built by combining multi-source environmental risk data and expertise from several disciplines.The integrated system of environmental risk management considerably improved risk management efficiency,which was beneficial for improving and iterating environmental policy decision-making.The framework we proposed(identification of environmental social risk-public risk perception-prediction,monitoring,and early warning of environmental social risk-integrated environmental risk management model)offers new ideas and methods for dealing with environmental issues,as well as a solid foundation and evidence to support the systematic and comprehensive management of environmental issues. |