Research On Investment Risks And Optimization Strategies Of Countries Along The Belt And Road

In recent years,China has achieved remarkable achievements in implementing the strategy of "going global".The "Belt and Road Initiative" has brought about new opportunities and pattern for China’s overseas investment.However,our investment to the "Belt and Road" countries faces many risks and uncertainties,and the quantitative research on the investment risks in these countries is very limited.Therefore,this dissertation systematically studies the China’s investment situation,investment pattern,investment risk and optimization strategy in the countries along the "Belt and Road".Furthermore,this dissertation aims to provide the theoretical support and policy recommendations for China’s investment in countries along the "Belt and Road".The main research achievements and conclusions are as follows:(1)Through investigating literature,analyzing reports,reading books and collecting data,we can sort out the overall profile of China’s overseas investment and the base of investment cooperation with the countries along the "Belt and Road",and systematically analyze the potential and challenges of China’s overseas investment and cooperation in these countries.It concludes that the China’s overseas investment is mainly in Asia.However,China’s foreign investment has gradually transferred into Europe and North America,and it is forming a pattern of foreign investment industry,which is based on the third industry and the second industry is supplemented.From the potential perspective of the cooperation,the common interest starting point,the abundant resource reserves and the complementary needs have provided the endless possibilities of the deep cooperation between China and the countries along the "Belt and Road".However,China still has to be vigilant against the complex risks from the host countries,the investors and the third countries.(2)In this dissertation,the complex network theory is used to make a comprehensive assessment of the competitive situation between China’s investment destination countries and the pattern of China’s overseas investment.Through the scenario deduction of China’s potential investment along the "Belt and Road",we can quantitatively analyze the impact of global investment patterns.The results show that in the China’s overseas investment regions,Asia and Africa have obvious the competitive advantages.Among the countries along the "Belt and Road",Southeast Asia and South Asia have relatively strong competitive advantages while CIS and Central and Eastern Europe are at a relatively competitive disadvantage.Andstrengthening investment in Southeast Asia and East Asia can enhance in large China’s market influence.(3)Based on the six dimensions of politics,economy,investment environment,resource potential,environmental constraints and China factors,this dissertation proposes a new comprehensive index system of energy investment risk,and builds a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight.This dissertation conducts a comprehensive quantitative assessment on China’s energy investment risks along the countries of the "Belt and Road".The study found that energy investment has its own particularity.The potential resources and the factors of China are the main factors that will affect the risks of China’s foreign energy investment.The countries along the Belt and Road have the higher overall energy investment risk,and different regions have significantly different national energy investment risks.Russia,Kazakhstan,Saudi Arabia,UAE,Pakistan and Malaysia are good choices for China’s energy investment.(4)This dissertation analyzes the new concept of national investment along the "Belt and Road" countries from the perspective of international vision and the responsibility in great powers.From the perspectives of top-level design,state-to-state relations and national development,new methods are put forward to implement the new concept.From the system construction,cooperation model and cooperation area,the optimization strategy of energy investment is proposed.It provides the theoretical guide for our government to coordinate "Belt and Road" investment and provides decision reference for the enterprises to reduce the risk of overseas investment.