| Over30years of reform and opening-up, with the advancement of urbanization process and therelaxation of population mobility policy, there appears large-scale, sustained and rapid population mobilitybetween the urban and regional in our country. Under the background of special binary householdregistration system, on the path of population mobility path, there was a big difference between ourcountry’s and the western developed countries’, which produced the population mobility phenomenon withChinese characteristics. Seen from space, the main population trends have been flowing from the Midwestto the east and southeast coastal area. But after the2008financial crisis, the phenomena of the eastern"shortage of migrant workers" and central "returning tide" becomes more and more intensified, new changeshave taken place in our country’s population mobility pattern. Along with the transfer of the easternlabor-intensive industries to the central and western, the traditional eastern coastal population input region"pull" of the population is getting smaller and smaller, while the traditional output region of traditionalagriculture population to population of "pull" is growing larger and larger. Combined with a series of"agriculture, rural areas and farmers" by the reform and the policy guidance of the central government,which is conducive to release more traditional agriculture surplus labor force. Traditional agriculture areaswill be promoting the huge potential of a new round of new urbanization in our country. In Typicaltraditional agricultural areas of Henan, the resident population had been9413million by the end of2013,compared to the previous year, has increased by70000people. The urban resident population had been41.23million people by the end of the previous year, which increased by1.32million, the urbanization ratereached43.8%, up1.4%over the previous year, but according to the population of Henan province, theurbanization rate is only26.6%. On the one hand, it shows that Henan urbanization level has a strongdevelopment momentum, but compared with the national, there is a certain gap, and Henan’s urbanizationhas a great potential; on the other hand it describes that about16.35million permanent residents stillbelongs to the farmers’ identity, this kind of urbanization is the typical "semi-urbanization". So, study andgrasp the special laws of population mobility and urbanization models on typical of traditional agriculturalareas, which not only reflected the new development of development economics but also supplemented andimproved the urban and rural population with Chinese characteristics mobility theory. Domestic for studying the path of urbanization pattern research focused on the national level,through rethinking the path of urbanization in China, it is concluded that the advance of urbanization modecannot machine-made, typical area should choose urbanization patterns according to elements of mobilitycharacteristic. Urbanization pattern in eastern China is formed under the law of urbanization which isn’treally understood, which doesn’t adapt to the traditional agriculture. This paper sums up the experience ofthe foreign population mobility and urbanization development, which points out that researching on theurbanization models should be based on a correct understanding on the inherent laws of urbanization, anduse dynamic analysis to analyze the choice of urbanization model. According to the elements gatheredtheory, labor force, as one of the most active factor of the economic factors, has important guidance valueon the urbanization model of dynamic selection. From the perspective of a typical agricultural populationmobility of regional urbanization models, this paper not only complements and improves Chinese specialtheory of urban and rural population mobility, but also enriches the theory of urbanization in our country.This paper which based on all previous national censuses, the national and provincial statisticalyearbook and information and data of the on－the－spot field survey, which presents the characteristics oftime series on population mobility, it analyzes the current situation of population mobility to predict thedirection of the Henan population mobility, scale and trends. Henan province is a large typical populationoutput, but along with the advancement of urbanization, there are some significant changes in Henan’spopulation flow rate, flow and distribution, etc, which appears new features and trends. On the one hand,through the analysis of official statistics, this chapter points out that the overall condition of Henanpopulation mobility rate increases gradually. Zhengzhou, which is as the center of the city circle core, hasan apparent potential energy in the provincial population mobility, the agricultural population transfermainly flows to the central city, rural labor transfer in the province beyond the domestic output. After "80","90" new generation migrant workers has become the main force of the floating population in Henanprovince. On the other hand, through the on-the-spot investigation and analysis, the present situation ofrural labor mobility has performed that the resource of rural labor force is very rich in Henan, which stillexists demographic dividend The transfer of rural labor force in Henan has become the main force of thepopulation of permanent residents in cities and towns, the transfer of rural labor force into the city to makea living is an irreversible lifestyle for the migrant workers. The rural labor force mainly flows to the center city, of which is led by the provincial center of Zhengzhou urban mobility has a strong potential energy.The present situation of population mobility resulting from the macro-and micro-show, which has a strongpotential energy of population mobility in the province, the center of the city, which is led by Zhengzhou,has most obvious potential energy which was very strong especially with Zhengzhou as the center of thecity circle core flow. At the same time, through the permanent population space and the unchangeablehierarchical structure of Henan to predict the trend of the Henan population mobility, and the conclusion is,on the one hand, the population to town gathered potential energy, on the other hand, the urban populationgathered flow to the central city. Spatially, the population flows towards the "Zhengzhou" centered"Zhenbian new Jao Xu road" which gathered the core city circle. The present situation of Henan populationmobility and the analysis of the forecast have shown the same basic trends of population mobility. Thetrend of Henan population mobility provides a strong basis towards the analysis of Henan urbanizationmodel.At the same time, there exists "semi-urbanization" seriousness and rural migrant workersintegrate into the cities difficulties, many outstanding problems still exist in the process of urbanization.The next period, solving in the process of urbanization of rural migrant workers in cities into disorder is animportant content of new urbanization in Henan. Starting from the present situation of Henan rural labormobility field research, the paper summed up the restricting factors of the rural labor force "turn to draw"and in the cities "get in""stay under constraint." After analysis, I conclude that influence of Henan ruralmigrant labor mobility not only has rural collective property rights system, but also has the factors of urbanbasic public service supply, and rural migrant labor personal endowment factors such as individual humancapital, ideas, and service consciousness of relevant government departments and the management leveland other factors. Then according to the on-the-spot investigation and the related theory of selectedindicators, through the regression model, I analyzed multiple linear regression population mobility factors.Finally it is concluded that per capita net income of rural, the income gap between urban and rural residents,rural labor human capital stock, the worker average wage, the added value accounted for first industrial,agricultural machinery total power, sown areas of law finally stayed in the regression equation, which arefactors affect population mobility significantly.Urbanization itself is to optimize the process of allocation resources, the urbanization process is restricted or choose the wrong way, to some extent, which is to limit the optimal allocation of resources.This paper discusses the urbanization of its population mobility model based on the dynamic characteristicsof Henan. Preliminary determining of Henan urban scale structure evolutes in the direction of increasingthe proportion of central cities, the urban system spatial structure, which is toward Zhengzhou as thecenter of the inner circle size and density,is bigger and bigger in the direction of evolution. Finally Isuggest that Henan new urbanization should be on the establishment of a provincial central city more thanlarge and medium-sized cities, and focus on nurturing Zhengzhou city as the center of the core circle.Finally from the overall urban and rural development, and the perspective of promoting the rural laborforce transfer smoothly, I put forward policy suggestion recommend on the new urbanization of traditionalagriculture. |
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