Rearch On High-tech Project Risk Early-Warning System

With the rapid development of science and technology, high technology has been the primary motive force in the era of intellectual economy for more than ten years. The technology industry development level has already become the important symbol of weighing the country or the regional competitiveness and overall strength.High-tech projects, as the availability carriers to productive power and the leading edge of science and technology, are provided with such characteristics as extensive scope, excessive links, enormous investments, uncertain periods and complex system. All of those decide that the risk of high-tech projects is of considerable complexity and frequent occurrence. At the present time, most of high-tech projects in china lack the ability of resisting risk. Therefore, it is significant to build a risk early-warning system which according to the basic principle of high-tech projects. This dissertation was just launched around this key problem.Based on a series of current researches, and with the combination of risk management theory, technology innovation theory and project management theory, this paper systematic analyzes high-tech project's features and identifies the key risk factors during the process of technological innovation in high-tech projects. In addition, an early-warning system of high-tech project risk was constructed in this dissertation for the first time. The system offers theoretical support to solve the problem that how to deal with high-tech project risk management.Here are the focuses of this research:This paper makes systematic definitions of modern high-tech projects and relevant risk concepts. Combined with the research on risk generative mechanism of high-tech projects and cost-effectiveness of risk early-warning, it sets up the risk early-warning operation model and analytical framework for the first time. Additional, it emphasizes the inter-restriction and logical relationship between the different parts in the system.Centered on the distinctiveness of high-tech project risk, this paper, for the first time, puts forward a risk indicator optimization mode of high-tech project based on Rough Sets. It derived 27 key risk factors of high-tech project. By empirical research, these risk factors have been identified that impact high-tech project distinctively. This risk indicator system reveals...