Research And Application Of Post-Evaluation On Electricity Investment Project

Based on the need of establishment of harmonious society and persisting development, our country pays more attention on post-evaluation of investment project. But in the electric power industry, pilot study is carried on in recent years, and recognized research results are less. This paper starts from study methods system of post-evaluation, discusses the post-evaluation issue of electricity investment project, and takes an example combined with practice to provide some references for decision-making department. The main study contents are:In the first chapter, the development status and study level of post-evaluation of investment project inside and outside country are reviewed, and the main contents and study thoughts are put forward aiming at problems in existence.In the second chapter, comprehensive analysis and research are opened up around the index system of project post-evaluation.In the third chapter, starting from the electric network project and power supply project, the four main parts of post-evaluation on electricity investment project are analyzed.In the fourth chapter, the theory, methods and models of comprehensive post-evaluation are summarized and concluded, and rational problems of comprehensive post-evaluation are discussed.In the fifth chapter, post-evaluation on actual electricity investment project is carried on as to prove the validity and scientific quality of doing research on post-evaluation system.In the sixth chapter, the full paper is summarized, innovative points are concluded, and the study direction for the future is brought forward.The main innovative points of this paper are:1. The nature and features of post-evaluation on electricity investment project are probed into in the view of epistemology and axiology.2. On the basis of advantages and disadvantages of routine forecast methods of post-evaluation on electricity investment project, auto-adaptable trend simulationforecast model is put forward.3. AHP method is improved during the establishment of index weight model, and a flexible weight model is advanced combined improved AHP with entropy method.4. Gradient theory is introduced in the project evaluation for the first time. This paper advances that gradient theory can be used to choose indexes set up weights.5. By studying the correlative problems of special post-evaluation and comprehensive post-evaluation, the method system of post-evaluation on electricity investment project is established.6. The complete post-evaluation is carried on actual electricity investment project, including the establishment of index system, setup of weights, establishment of evaluation model, and choose of evaluation method combined with qualitative and quantitative analysis.