Study On Formation Mechanism And Evaluation Of Cluster Supply Chain Risk

Cluster supply chain is a kind of supply chain network with complicate structure made of several interleaving supply chains in an industrial cluster. Currently, it is one of the new frontiers on supply chain management and industrial cluster research.With the rapid development of economy and society, cluster supply chain is probably facing a lot of infinite uncertainties and risk trials at any moment because of acute and dynamic diversifications from its interior system and exterior environment. Many substantial evidences indicate cluster supply chain always behaves frailly in front of risks so that a lot of enterprises leave from the industrial cluster. As a result, it has significant effects on that whether or not risks can be controlled and kept away so as to ensure the whole cluster supply chain can run effectively and achieve the anticipated purposes to hence the research on the microcosmic formation mechanism and evaluation of cluster supply chain risk. This research has very import significance in theoretical reference and practical guidance for the steady and persistent development of industrial clusters in China.Based on assimilating the research methods and results on industrial cluster risk and supply chain risk of both domestic and foreign scholars, the dissertation synthetically applies the theories of system subject, supply chain management, risk management and quantitative techniques of game and decision subjects. The conception definition of cluster supply chain risk, operating mechanism of cluster supply chain risk system, formation mechanism and appraisal method of cluster supply chain risk have been studies systemically by combining quantitative and qualitative analysis. The main research contents of this dissertation are summarized as follows:1. Introduction of the dissertation. Discusses the background and significance of the research, perfects the conception definition of cluster supply chain and expatiates its characteristics and structure. Through the systematic analysis and summarizing research work on the definitions of risk, risk management framework, industrial cluster risk and supply chain risk of both domestic and foreign scholars, points out the existing defects of the research has been done and suggests new study directions. The research meaning, target and method of the dissertation are established. The foundation platform of the dissertation is built.2. Depiction of related theories of cluster supply chain risk formation. Synthetically introduces the core thought of the Stakeholder Theory, the Resource Dependence Theory, and the Organizational Ecology Theory so as to build the theory basement of the dissertation. Based on the theories, analyzes the buildup of cluster supply chain stakeholder, discusses the guidance significance of the Resource Dependence Theory to cluster supply chain's cooperation strategies selection, puts forward the concept of the cluster supply chain species and further moots its ecology characteristics.3. Systematic analysis of cluster supply chain risk. The essence and factor structure of cluster supply chain are discussed. Risk factors, incidents and loss of industrial cluster, supply chain and cluster supply chain are compared.Their similarities and differences among them are nailed down. Dissects cluster supply chain risk characteristics and defines the meaning, formation and structure of cluster supply chain risk system. The operation mechanisms among risk sub-systems are studied. The key risk factors concept model of cluster supply chain risk system is built. Constructs the ISM model of cluster supply chain risk factors and opens out their hierarchy. The non-linear and hyper-cycle risk formation mechanisms of cluster supply chain are analyzed. Hyper-cycle organization models based on the key risk factors are built and cooperation mechanisms and coincidence effects among the models are discussed in detail.4. Analysis on formation mechanism of cluster supply chain network risk. Based on the complicate network theory, structure model of cluster supply chain network is built so as to point out network structure characteristics can produce risks. By bidding mechanism, constructs a bidding model between one manufacturer and multi-suppliers combined manufacturer's preference with suppliers'bidding. It explains the suppliers'bidding decision is very important to keep stable cooperation between manufacturer and supplier. A cooperative static game model among supply chains is set up in order to discuss different cooperative decision among supply chains can bring risks for cluster supply chain. A competitive-cooperative Logistic model of cluster supply chain species is built. It sets forth that stability of species competitive-cooperative relation can influence whether or not cluster supply chain risk forms.5. Cluster supply chain risk evaluation model based on ANP-unascertained measurement. On the basis of analysis on cluster supply chain risk evaluation's essence and characteristics, the evaluation object and method are made certain.23 indexes divided by 5 kinds are selected to form a comprehensive risk evaluation index system.A cluster supply chain risk evaluation model is built. Thus cluster supply chain risk's attribute can be judged.6. Empirical research. Taking the diary product processing cluster supply chain on the Northern Slope of Tianshan Mountains in Xinjiang as examples, its formation mechanism,operation state and risk types as well as causes of risk formation are all analyzed. Applying the cluster supply chain risk evaluation model built in this dissertation, an empirical study has been done to judge the risk level of the diary product processing cluster supply chain on the Northern Slope of Tianshan Mountains in Xinjiang.7. Finally, the main conclusions and creative points are summarized and the further directions are also presented.