The Research On Chinese Railways Developing Modern Logistics Based On Logistics Demand Analysis

As the expanding of logistics management field and accelerating of economic globalization, modern logistics become "the third profit spring", one of core competences to enterprise and important support system for national economic operation efficiency. Transportation is concerned as very import logistics resource and vigorous component in modern logistics system. The process optimization and effective cost control of transportation system, plays a crucial role in integer optimization and cost reduction of logistics system. As the backbone of modern integrate transportation system, railway system is too important to be replaced. Railway transportation systems, which have its strength in mass transportation resource and network, is expanding its field to modern logistics. This kind of expanding is meaningful to build and strengthen China modern logistics system, to accelerate the third-party logistics development, to improve nation economic quality and international competition strength. At the same time, this kind of expanding is required by its own development as to competition trend.At first, this paper establishes the analysis model of how railway system develop modern logistics based on logistics demand, after looking into the theories basis for railway developing modern logistics, the status of railway transportation in china logistics market, the importance and fundamental conditions and status in quo of railways developing modern logistics. By using the logistics demand data of industry and commercial enterprises collected by China Storage Association, the characteristics and trends of logistics demand is studied, which have great influences to railways developing modern logistics. These influences are:enormous logistics demand potential creates fair environment for railways developing modern logistics; the freight component structure's changing makes railways expand to through Interlining and container transportation and other complex logistics fields; the changing trends of logistics demand require railways developing modern logistics further and giving integration logistics service.Secondly, the paper sets up "grey prediction" model and predicts on trends of railways freight demand according to the characteristics of china railroad transportation. The model is validated by data. Using the model, characteristics of demand on railways freight are studied. The characteristics are:freight weight and turnover will rise year by year; average distances of transportation become longer; freight intensity comes down slowly; coal and other bulk cargo still dominate in railways transportation. Model of railways transportation and economic growth brought forward by Mr. Wang jixiang is expanded in accordance with these characteristics. Using the expanded model to analysis stage features, strategic routes for railways developing modern logistics are described as follows:accelerating construction of railways and providing high quality transportation services; developing multi-transportations and container transportation to supply complete transportation services; providing integral logistics services.SWOT model are used on describing the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats of railways developing modern logistics. Quantitative optimization model of SWOT is founded. By using the model, the coordinating relativity of strategic components for railways developing modern logistics is analyzed, and alternative developing strategies are put forward as to different components combination. Main strategies are:expanding logistics market, setting up logistics alliance, accelerates logistics talent training, providing value-added logistics services, building brand on logistics services. Further, main patterns for railways developing modern logistics are put forward according to the features of logistics demand. One pattern is gradual changing pattern. That is, under the original organization frame, railroad enterprises expanding to modern logistics field gradually, following the route as "transportation specialization-constructing logistics alliance-setting up logistics center-expanding logistics services-building up logistics enterprises group ". The second pattern is resource-integrated pattern. That is, uniting most of railroad logistics resource to build up logistics industry group. Under the condition of remaining the freight resource organization frame, railways enterprises improve competences and expanding freight market by providing wholesome transportation service product. The third pattern is asset- reconstructed pattern. That is, building up territorial logistics industry group through reconstructing the asset of transportation enterprises. This kind of reformation leads to using transportation resource more effectively, it adjusting structure of freight and providing in-time logistics services.Finally, overseas countries' typical measures of railways developing modern logistics are described. By referencing the experiences of railways developing modern logistics in developed countries, measures of railways developing modern logistics in our country is put forward. These measures are:planning on railways infrastructure layout; promoting the reformation of separating government' functions from enterprises' functions in railways, improving the regulation environment for railways developing modern logistics; accelerating the speed of railway standardization; building information control networks platform; paying more attention on cultivating talents in logistics; promoting the reformation and improvement of railway freight management system; setting up quick response freight system; developing complex transportation services.