Analysis On The Evolution And Influencing Factors Of Textile Trade Competition Network Of One Belt And One Road

The textile industry is a traditional pillar industry related to people’s livelihood.It not only plays an important role in the domestic economy of ensuring people’s livelihood and stabilizing employment,but also plays a positive role in increasing foreign exchange reserves and maintaining the balance of international payments in foreign trade.Our country is a big textile product trade.The trade scale has an important position in the world in a long term.But along with our industry upgrading process in recent years continuously thorough,textile products trade faces production cost increase,trade competitiveness gradually less than emerging market countries,trade dependency is still higher.How to stabilize the industrial advantage in the international market and break through the bottleneck of industrial development is an urgent problem of our textile trade.Along with the continuous deepening of the Belt and Road initiative construction,Chinese textile trade how to grasp the opportunity,take it as an opportunity to improve international trade competitive advantage is the common concern of textile industry and foreign trade enterprises.Based on the bilateral flow data of textile trade between countries and regions,this paper constructs the One Belt and One Road textile trade competition relationship network by calculating the Direct Trade competition Index(DTCA).Based on the complex network theory,the index random graph model is used as the method.This paper studies the level of textile trade competition relations in various countries and regions,China’s position in the network and the factors that affect the network,so as to explore the One Belt and One Road textile trade competition relations,and put forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve the international competitive advantage of our textile trade.This paper first reviews relevant studies on the international trade network,the One Belt and One Road trade network and its influencing factors and the literature on textile trade and its influencing factors,and further analyzes the research experience and conclusions of previous scholars.Then,based on complex network analysis,five textile trade competition networks of classified textile trade products in One Belt and One Road countries,countries around the world and One Belt and One Road countries are constructed.Starting from the overall characteristics,individual characteristics and group characteristics of the network,the structural evolution process of the trade competition network is explored respectively.Then,according to the structural characteristics of the network,the factors that may affect the network are put forward.Secondly,exponential random graph model(ERGM)is used as the research method to estimate and test the influencing factors of the trade competition relationship network.Finally,based on the comparative analysis results of five constructed textile trade competition relations,this paper puts forward some suggestions to improve the international competitiveness of Chinese textile trade.Through the comprehensive research and analysis of this paper,it is found that the One Belt and One Road textile trade competition network shows a trend of close connection on the whole,with the characteristics of small-world network.China occupies the core position of this network,and the One Belt and One Road initiative has a certain aggregation effect on the global industrial cooperation of the textile industry.In terms of influencing factors of textile trade competition network,twoway flow of trade is the cause of trade competition.Countries with similar levels of economic development and openness of goods trade are more likely to have textile trade competition.Countries with large land area are in a passive position in textile trade competition.Countries with large population and high degree of openness in goods trade occupy a pivotal position in the textile trade competition network.Countries with common geographic boundaries,common currency and common spoken language among national residents are more likely to form textile trade competition.According to the research conclusion,this paper finally puts forward the following policy suggestions: first,to promote cultural exchanges and strengthen cultural exchanges with countries along the One Belt and One Road;Second,promote unimpeded trade and increase investment in One Belt and One Road infrastructure construction.Third,expand market influence,appropriately transfer some excess capacity,and encourage the export of technology;Fourth,consolidate technological advantages and continue to support high-tech innovation in the textile field;Fifth,encourage brand building and promote the export of textile and clothing cultural brands.