| Soybean is one of the important edible leguminous crops and is a source of high quality protein for human beings。 Soybeans are an important basic strategic material for people’s lives 。It is the most economically efficient crop and plays an important role in agricultural product s trade.China has the largest planting area in the country,With the increase in domestic consumption,the people’s demand for soybeans continues to rise,Since the sino-us trade dispute,soybean has become one of the key variables in the trade between the tw o countries.Therefore,it is crucial to increase the soybean planting area and soybean production,understanding farmers willingness to plant soybeans plays a decisive role in increasing soybean acreage and yield 。The data of this questionnaire is from Lixin County,Mengcheng County and Woyang County of Bozhou。During the period of the survey,150 questionnaires were distributed and 146 valid questionnaires were collected,with an efficiency of 97% 。Through descriptive statistical analysis of individual and family factors,production and management factors,economic factors and policy factors,and through sample data statistical analysis of causal variables to understand the situation of soybean cultivation in Bozhou。Through Cross analysis of individual and family factors and soybean planting intention,production and management factors and soybean planting intention,economic factors and soybean planting intention,policy factors and soybean planting intention,the relationship between each factor variable and soybean planting intention was discussed。The binary Logistic model was used to analyze the relationship between the outcome variables and each causal variable,15 causal variables were independent variables,and the willingness to plant soybean was used as dependent variable in binary Logistic regression analysis。As a result of the analysis,the regression coefficient value of the cultivated land area was-1.223,showing a significance of 0.01,which meant that the cultivated land area had a significant negative effect on the willingness to plant soybean.Exposure to natural disasters had a significant positive impact on willingness to plant soybeans.Due to the small size of the region surveyed,the small number of sample data,the single population of f armers surveyed,and the fact that the factors affecting farmers’ soybean cultivation were not fully taken into account,as a result,there is no significant difference among the causal variables in the stage of empirical analysis.However,it is found that age,education level of farmers,per unit area yield,per unit area yield cost and agricultural subsidy policy have significant effects on farmers’ willingness to plant soybean。Through research and analysis,we will make rational proposals to motivate farmers to grow soybeans,First,stabilize agricultural production prices and increase soybean subsidies 。 Second,we will actively respond to the shortage of rural labor。Third,upgrade the level of mechanization and strengthen the construction of farmland infrastructure。 Fourth,standardize soybean planting technology,give full play to the advantage of improved varieties to increase production.Finally,Firstly,it points out the influencing factors of farmers’ soybean planting intention in Bozhou City,and then puts forward the reasons for the decrease of farmers’ soybean planting intention in Bozhou City through investigation and analysis 。 Firstly,soybean planting cost is high and comparative benefit is low.Second,shortage of rural labor force restricts agricultura l development。Third,soybean planting mechanization degree is low,farmland water conservancy infrastructure is backward。Fourth,extensive management,lack of scientific planting technology。Fifth,the frequent natural disasters,,soybean planting risk is high。... |
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