| Under the background of two-child and three-child policy,the fertility rate is still not optimistic.With the rapid increase of population flow scale and frequency,the birth intention and birth decision of Chinese urban and rural families have changed greatly.The normalization of mobility not only has a profound impact on China’s traditional rural society,but also reshapes the fertility concept and behavior mode of urban and rural families in a sense.The fertility intention of the floating population is obviously lower than that of the emigrated population,and the fertility rate is lower.In order to deal with the population problem actively,the fertility rate of urban and rural population of childbearing age can be increased by exploring the influencing factors of fertility intention.On the other hand,the fertility intention of urban and rural families is different.Due to the long-standing urban-rural dual system,there are great differences between urban and rural areas in terms of economy,cultural concepts and other aspects,leading to a great difference in the fertility intention of urban and rural residents.Based on this,this paper focuses on women’s mobility factors to analyze their impact on the fertility intention of urban and rural families in Yongzhou City.At the same time,in order to ensure the comprehensiveness and systematicness of the analysis of influencing factors of fertility intention,individual factors,fertility concept factors and economic factors are also included in the investigation factors,trying to analyze and compare the fertility intention of urban and rural people of reproductive age from the above four perspectives.And explore the specific path of its influence.Multiple logistic regression model was established to verify the influence level and direction of various factors on fertility intention.The research conclusions of this paper are as follows:From the comparison of the fertility intention of urban and rural families,(1)The ideal number of children of urban and rural families in Yongzhou presents a trend of less quantification.There is no significant difference in the number of children of rural families and urban families,and the ideal number of children is mainly 2.(2)Compared with urban families,rural families have a stronger preference for boys;(3)The ideal childbearing time of urban population is later than that of rural population;(4)The combination of urban and rural willing children is both children and children.In terms of the factors affecting the fertility intention of urban and rural families,(1)Compared with the mobility of rural women,the mobility of urban women has less impact on the fertility intention of families on the whole.(2)Compared with individual factors,fertility concepts and economic factors,different dimensions of women’s mobility experience have different influences on the ideal number of births.On the one hand,from the perspective of time and marriage status,through changing the fertility space,the cultural and social values of the floating population gradually deviate from the cultural concepts of the destination and converge with the cultural concepts of the destination.In the last two years,the families with no spouse who had moved outside the township were more likely to have 1 family;On the other hand,spatial mobility enhances the original fertility concept by improving the economic status and autonomy of women of childbearing age,which shows that the longer the annual off-farm working hours,the more inclined they are to choose 2 as the ideal number of children.(3)Individual factors,fertility concept and economic factors all have significant influence on the ideal number of family births in Yongzhou. |
