Research On The Impact Of Population Aging On The High-quality Development Of Manufacturing Industr

The Fifth Plenary Session of the 19 th CPC Central Committee pointed out that adhering to the general keynote of seeking progress while maintaining stability,taking high-quality development as the theme,and unswervingly building a strong country in manufacturing and quality is not only one of the key tasks of China’s economic and social development,but also an important link to achieve high-quality economic development,and the only way to build a modern socialist country.As for China,since the beginning of the aging society in 2000,with the disappearance of the demographic dividend brought by the aging population and the decrease of the working-age population,the degree of population aging has been deepening.Problems such as "getting old before getting rich" and "getting old before getting prepared" have also gradually emerged,which have become the common concern of the current government and scholars.What about the impact of an aging population on high-quality manufacturing?Therefore,in order to make the western region conform to the trend of population aging,better develop the manufacturing industry and maintain the steady and rapid economic growth,it is of great practical significance to study the influence of population aging on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in the western region.This paper classifies and comments domestic and foreign literature according to different research methods and research objects of scholars,and analyzes related concepts.On this basis,the following conclusions are drawn: First,the elderly population aged 65 and above in the western region is constantly expanding,and the aging population is gradually deepening;Second,the manufacturing foundation in the western region is weak,and the product structure of the manufacturing industry is unreasonable.Based on the current development situation of manufacturing industry in western China,this paper clarified the influence mechanism of population aging on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry,conducted empirical test by using provincial panel data and total factor productivity of manufacturing industry in western China from 2003 to 2020,and conducted quantitative analysis on how population aging affects the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in western China.The results show that population aging has a negative impact on the total factor productivity of manufacturing industry.Secondly,it is still significant after the introduction of three intermediary variables: human capital investment,labor quantity supply and capital accumulation.At the same time,human capital investment and capital accumulation also have a significant impact on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry.Finally,according to the conclusions obtained,this paper puts forward some suggestions to deal with the aging population and high-quality development of manufacturing industry,including vigorously developing the elderly industry,increasing investment in higher education,relaxing the birth policy,delaying the retirement age appropriately,etc.,to provide ideas for inter-industrial transfer in our country,and provide suggestions for western development.