A Study On The Effect Of Household Registration System On Labor Mismatch

As a large country with a long history and complex development background,China’s labor market is severely segmented.In the current important period of economic transition,optimizing labor factor allocation and helping to promote the transformation of economic growth impetus have important significance to the structural reform of the supply side.After the founding of the People’s Republic of China,in order to meet the needs of economic development and management,the household registration system came into being.Although it has changed several times,the household registration system is still the most important institutional source of the labor market division of the labor market,and has a profound impact on the allocation of labor resources in China.Based on the above reality,firstly,this paper extends the analysis framework of the multi-sector equilibrium model of Aoki(2012),constructs a factor mismatch measurement model with time-varying elasticity,and refers to the labor mismatch index constructed by Chen and Hu(2011),the degree of labor mismatch between the cities and the degree of labor mismatch of urban and rural labor are measured.Secondly,This paper applies a spatial equilibrium model including household registration control to analyze the impact of household registration system regulation on the degree of urban labor mismatch,and constructs a dynamic panel model to empirically test the analysis results based on the panel data of Chinese cities.Finally,based on the analysis of the evolution of household registration system and the time of household registration unification reform in various provinces and cities,the synthetic control method was used to study the impact of household registration unification reform in Guangdong,Fujian and Liaoning on the degree of labor mismatch measured from the perspective of urban and rural areas.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first,the urban labor configuration in China has been in the situation of excessive labor configuration and insufficient labor configuration coexistence.There are different degrees of labor mismatch in various regions.Generally speaking,the degree of labor mismatch in our country generally shows a decreased long-term change.From the perspective of regional perspective,the eastern region is in the situation of insufficient labor configuration and shows a decreasing change;the central region is in the situation of excessive labor configuration before 2012,and then shows insufficient labor configuration;the labor force in the western region was excessively improved but gradually decreasing,but in 2010,it showed a large degree of insufficient labor configuration.The degree of mismatches of urban and rural labor in my country generally shows the trend of "U" type change.The eastern region is mainly a "U" trend with an inflection point in 2000;Among the three provinces of Northeast of Cina,Jilin has always showed a relatively low degree of labor mismatch,Liaoning has generally showed a downward trend and Heilongjiang generally shows the "U" trend;the mismatch degree in the western region is relatively close,and the change trend has shown a relatively gentle "U" type.Second,household registration control has an asymmetric impact on the degree of regional labor mismatch.For cities with insufficient labor allocation,the liberalization of household registration access will help alleviate the degree of local labor mismatch,while in cities with excessive labor allocation,the liberalization of household registration access will aggravate the degree of local labor mismatch.Third,whether the reform of unified household registration can reduce the degree of labor mismatch between urban and rural areas is affected by the local actual situation.Due to the differences in regional geographical location,internal development status and implementation rules of specific reform policies,the effects of household registration reform on labor mismatch are different.