The ability of the United States and Israel to adjust their strategic cooperation according to the changes of domestic and foreign situations and strategic interests is an important reason why the two countries still maintain a close “special relationship”.In addition to mutual strategic needs,similar institutions and cultures,a strong sense of value identity and the lobbying role of Jewish interest groups have also enhanced the special relationship between the two countries.During the Cold War,the special relationship between the United States and Israel was formed because of the strategic need to contain the Soviet Union together.After the Cold War,the United States and Israel found common interests in “counter-terrorism” and preventing the proliferation of large-scale weapons,and the special relationship between the United States and Israel became even closer.Since the beginning of the 21 st century,the world has seen a remarkable trend of rising in the east and declining in the west.With the relative decline of the absolute dominant position of the United States,the Trump administration has implemented a global strategic concept of “America First” and pursued a policy of “unilateralism”.In the meanwhile,the “upheaval in the Middle East” has led to a reshuffle of the regional power structure and profound changes in the geopolitical pattern of the whole Middle East.Specifically,under Obama’s “Iran nuclear” policy,Iran’s national strength has increased rapidly,which has aggravated Israel’s security anxiety,and the security environment around Israel has also deteriorated sharply.The Trump administration,emboldened by right-wing populism in the US,sees Iran as the main threat to the US in the Middle East.When it comes to containing Iran,the strategic interests of the United States and Israel coincide highly.Against this background,the Trump administration has adjusted its policy toward Israel.First,deepen strategic cooperation between the two countries and support Israel’s development in an all-round way.Secondly,the United States and Israel jointly contain the threat of Iran and safeguard Israel’s strategic interests;Thirdly,to promote the Israeli-Palestinian peace process through the implementation of the new Middle East Peace Plan;In addition,we should actively promote the establishment of Arab-Israeli diplomatic ties and expand the scope of our Allies.Finally,by intervening in the Syrian civil war,Israel has helped defend itself against external security threats.The Trump administration supports Israel’s development and strengthens its strategic role so as to consolidate U.S.interests in the Middle East.The Trump administration’s Israel policy basically continues Obama’s “strategic contraction” trend,but has a strong “Trumpism”color.This is because the Trump administration’s Israel policy is influenced by different factors at both domestic and international levels.First of all,the change of US strategic interests in the Middle East and global strategic interests will affect Trump’s Israel policy.Domestic factors such as evangelical voters,partisan interests and right-wing Jewish interest groups are also constraints.Finally,the United States and Israel’s mutually compatible strategic needs further deepen the convergence of interests between the two governments.The Trump administration’s policy towards Israel have complex implications at different levels,including sovereign states,bilateral relations and regional patterns.From the national point of view,Trump’s Israeli policy has expanded Israel’s strategic interests,but stimulated Israel’s radical expansion demand,making the surrounding situation of Israel tense.From a bilateral perspective,the special relationship between the United States and Israel has improved rapidly,while the Israeli-Palestinian relationship has deteriorated sharply.In addition,Trump’s Israel policy has also profoundly affected the geopolitical pattern of the Middle East,not only exacerbating the power “camp”polarization of Middle East countries,but also undermining the regional political and security order. |