| With the massive use of fossil fuels in the process of economic development,carbon dioxide emissions are increasing,leading to environmental problems such as atmospheric pollution and global warming.Controlling the growth of carbon emissions and how to develop a low carbon economy has become the focus of research.The power industry is the sector with the highest carbon emissions in China.Along with the rapid economic development,the problems arising from the power sector are becoming more and more prominent and their negative impact on sustainable urban development and the environment cannot be ignored.The focus of this paper is on the study of carbon dioxide emissions from the electricity sector in Hubei Province.Based on the calculation results of carbon emissions from the power sector,the problems of carbon emissions in the power sector are screened and the path to low carbon development as well as rapid economic growth in the study area is explored,which is important for Hubei Province to achieve the strategic goal of low carbon development.This paper therefore focuses on the carbon footprint of the electricity industry,analyses the current situation of the carbon footprint of the electricity industry and seeks optimisation strategies for low-carbon development.(1)This paper compares and analyses the relevant literature based on the theory of low carbon economy and cleaner production as well as the ecological footprint theory.A multi-dimensional analysis of the development of the electricity industry in Hubei Province was carried out based on relevant statistical yearbook data from the current situation of the development of the electricity industry,the current situation of electricity supply and consumption and energy consumption of the whole society,as well as the current situation of carbon emissions in the electricity industry in Hubei Province.Using a number of numerical values,the IPCC fuel calculation model was constructed to quantify the carbon emissions and carbon intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province.The results show that between 2011 and 2020,carbon emissions from the power sector in Hubei province show an overall increase,with a slight decrease in the growth rate in each interval.emissions show a decreasing trend and the carbon emissions of Hubei’s power sector in 2020 decrease by 12% year-on-year.Overall,total carbon emissions are stable between 2011 and 2020,remaining at around 70 million tonnes overall.The carbon emission intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province has been lower than the overall carbon emission intensity of the country and is similar to the trend of carbon emission intensity of the national electricity industry.2011-2016,the carbon emission intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province showed a slow decreasing trend,with an average annual decrease of 0.29 tonnes/MWh,and from 2017 to 2019,the carbon emission intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province showed an upward turning downward trend,with the carbon emission intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province from 2019-0.32 t/k Wh increase in carbon emission intensity in Hubei’s power sector in 2020.The study indicates that the ecological environment in Hubei Province is under greater pressure and requires the implementation of a low carbon emission reduction development path.(2)On the basis of grey prediction theory,combined with the quantitative analysis of carbon emissions and carbon intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province in Chapter 3,the GM(1,1)model was applied to forecast the carbon emissions and carbon intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province from 2021 to 2030.The results show that the total carbon emissions in Hubei province will continue to rise between2021 and 2030,with an average annual increase of 4.1 million tonnes.The carbon intensity of electricity is getting smaller and smaller,with an average reduction of 0.088 tonnes per kilowatt-hour per year.According to the analysis of electricity carbon emissions data in Hubei province,carbon emissions in the study area still have not reached the peak.Therefore,the carbon emission control of Hubei power industry is an effective way to solve the development bottleneck.(3)Based on the evaluation and analysis of the actual and predicted values of carbon emissions and carbon intensity of the electricity industry in Hubei Province,It is urgent to find solutions to the carbon emissions related issues in the power industry in Hubei Province.The results of this study suggest reasonable countermeasures and recommendations for low carbon emission reduction in the power industry,i.e.the power industry in Hubei Province should adopt optimal strategies at three levels: technology,law and government,in order to achieve sustainable development of the power industry. |
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