Research On Port Throughput Prediction Of Liaoning Province In Northeast Asia Regional Economic Integration

With the rapid development of global economic integration,port transportation plays an increasingly important role in the development of global economy,and the position and role of port and port cities are becoming more and more prominent.Northeast Asia’s regional economic scale is second only to the European Union and North America,and occupies the third place.It is an important part of global regional cooperation and has a good development trend.Liaoning Province has six ports,located in the center of Northeast Asia Economic Belt,and plays an important role in the development of Northeast Asia cargo circulation.Based on the regional economic integration of Northeast Asia,this paper forecasts the port throughput of Liaoning Province and puts forward some suggestions for port development in Liaoning Province,which are of great significance to the future development orientation of port,the determination of port infrastructure construction scale and the formulation of port management strategy.Firstly,based on the deep analysis of the research background,this paper summarizes the domestic and foreign the influencing factors of port throughput and port throughput prediction methods at home and abroad,and clarifies the research ideas of this paper;secondly,based on the relevant theories of Northeast Asia regional economic integration,port and port hinterland,port throughput and its prediction,this paper expounds the development course of Liaoning Province port,the position of Liaoning Province port in Northeast Asia region and the present situation of Liaoning Province port scale inside Liaoning Province port,and reviews the current situation of Liaoning Province port development through comparative analysis of port groups around Bohai Sea;Thirdly,according to the present situation of port in Liaoning Province,the relevant influencing factors of port throughput under the regional economic integration of Northeast Asia are analyzed,and the quantifiable indexes affecting port throughput in Liaoning Province are obtained.The main influencing factors of port throughput in Liaoning Province are obtained by quantitative analysis of principal component analysis method;Finally,through the multi-element linear regression model and grey prediction model,the port throughput of Liaoning Province is predicted and analyzed,and the future development trend of Liaoning Province port is obtained.According to the forecast results,suggestions are put forward to promote the construction of Liaoning free trade port,build Liaoning port cluster with complementary advantages,give full play to Liaoning Province’s location advantages,perfect infrastructure construction and enhance transportation capacity.