Study On Carbon Emission Transfer Decision And Impact Of Supply Chain Under The Action Of Multiple Factors

With the intensification of global warming,coping with climate change is becoming a major global issue.As the main body of carbon emission reduction,enterprises’ emission reduction technology level and efforts have attracted much attention.However,the degree of enterprises’ emission reduction efforts is not only affected by external factors(such as consumers’ low-carbon preference and government regulation intensity),but also affected by enterprises’ own social preferences such as fairness,reciprocity and competition.However,the existence of carbon emission transfer among enterprises in the supply chain increases the difficulty in defining the degree of enterprise emission reduction efforts,blurs the boundary of carbon emission reduction potential,affects the allocation of carbon resources among enterprises by the government,and increases the uncertainty of the effectiveness of government policies.Therefore,in order to better promote the supply chain emission reduction,it is particularly important to explore the influencing factors and influencing mechanism of the supply chain carbon emission transfer decision.Based on this,this paper studies the phenomenon of carbon emission transfer at the supply chain level,explores the influence of important factors of supply chain emission reduction on the enterprise’s carbon emission transfer decision,and further analyzes the influence of carbon emission transfer on the stability of the supply chain coordinated emission reduction system.The main contents and research conclusions of this paper are as follows:First of all,from the perspective of the factors affecting the exogenous emission reduction of enterprises,considering the impact of the lagging of emission reduction technology and consumers’ low-carbon preference on the transfer of carbon emissions in the supply chain,building the manufacturers and suppliers of reduction of differential game model,the manufacturers and suppliers of the optimal transfer and emission reduction strategy,and the factors affecting the optimal decision is analyzed,the study found that:(1)Emission reduction technology lag time and low carbon consumer preferences can positive influence on the transfer of carbon manufacturing level,but has no effect on supplier undertake level;(2)Under decentralized decision-making,when the lag time of emission reduction technology and consumers’ low-carbon preference are within a certain threshold,carbon emission transfer behavior has a positive promoting effect on supply chain emission reduction,and the profit of supply chain increases and the carbon emission reduction per unit product decreases.Secondly,from the perspective of enterprise endogenous emission reduction factors,consider the influence of manufacturers’ reciprocal preferences and supplier fairness preferences on the transfer of carbon emissions in the supply chain and related emission reduction decisions,and construct general decentralized decision-making,considering the decentralized decision-making of suppliers’ fair preferences,Considering the four Steinberg game models of decentralized decision-making with reciprocal preference of manufacturers and centralized decision-making,through solving and comparative analysis,the results show that :(1)Decentralized decision-making model with reciprocal preference can reduce the carbon emission transfer amount of manufacturers,and the carbon emission transfer is closer to the actual carbon quota shortage situation of manufacturers,but the carbon emission transfer amount is still higher than centralized decision-making.However,if the supplier has a fair preference,the carbon emission transfer of the manufacturer will increase with the increase of the degree of fair preference.(2)The carbon emission reduction rate of the manufacturer increases with the increase of the manufacturer’s reciprocity preference,and decreases with the increase of the supplier’s fairness preference;The carbon emission reduction rate of suppliers decreases with the increase of their own equity preference.It shows that the supplier’s fair preference is not conducive to the improvement of the supply chain’s emission reduction level,while the manufacturer’s reciprocal preference can significantly improve the supply chain’s emission reduction level.Finally,from the perspective of supply chain coordinated emission reduction,the impact of supply chain carbon emission transfer on the stability of supply chain emission reduction system is analyzed.Through the construction of a‘government-manufacturer-supplier’ tripartite evolutionary game,explore the balance of interests between the government,manufacturers and suppliers under the "new situation" of emission reduction,analyze key variables,and explore supply chain carbon emissions The impact of the shift on the stability of the supply chain emission reduction system.The study found that:(1)The increase in the amount of carbon emissions transferred by manufacturers can stimulate manufacturers to conduct research and development of emission reduction technologies and government supervision.However,excessive carbon emissions transfer will discourage suppliers’ cooperation enthusiasm and in turn increase manufacturing.The difficulty of reducing emissions by the business itself;this shows that the appropriate amount of carbon emissions transfer is conducive to reducing emissions in the supply chain.(2)When the government implements dynamic quotas,manufacturers’ active emission reductions will evolve at a faster rate,and it will take longer for suppliers and the government to choose cooperation and monitoring strategies.This will more effectively promote manufacturers’ active emission reductions and give full play to The positive effect of carbon emission transfer in the supply chain.