An Empirical Study On The Relationship Between Economic Growth And Industrial Pollution

As China enters the stage of high-quality development,ecological civilization construction gradually comes into the public’s attention.On March 12,2021,China officially released the Outline of the 14 th Five-Year Plan,which listed "realizing new progress in ecological civilization construction" as one of the six new goals of China’s social and economic development during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period.In addition,in the subsequent Central Financial and Economic Conference,carbon peak and carbon neutrality were clearly included in the overall layout of ecological civilization construction,and green manufacturing and other related environmental policies were proposed in the industrial field.As a rapidly developing province of agriculture,population and mineral resources,Henan Province has been planned as the main body of "Central Plains Economic Zone" under the national strategy of "Rise of Central Plains".At present,it is in the stage of key industrial transformation.How to formulate the corresponding policy planning for the coordinated development of economy and environment under the national macro-economic environment policy is a major problem facing the transformation development of Henan Province.This paper focuses on the empirical analysis of the relationship between economic growth and industrial pollution in Henan Province.In this paper,EKC model and VAR model are used to analyze the unidirectional and bidirectional relations between them.First of all,in the EKC model,the logarithmic form of data from 1987 to 2017 is used for data analysis.Among them,the economic growth index is Henan’s per capita GDP,and the industrial pollution index is industrial "three wastes"(waste gas,solid waste,waste water)emissions.In addition,to enhance the reliability of the empirical results,four related control variables were added,which were energy consumption structure,industrial structure,population size and technological progress.This model is mainly to verify whether the one-way relationship between economic growth and industrial pollution in Henan Province follows the traditional EKC curve shape.Secondly,in the VAR model,index selection and data range is the same as the EKC model,the data is first ADF stationarity test and Johansen cointegration test,to ensure that economic growth in henan province and there is a long-term cointegration relationship between industrial pollution and reuse of impulse response function analysis between two-way influence relations,finally using variance decomposition analysis the future trend of the mutual influence between,and combined with empirical research results,for the future of henan province to coordinate the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution put forward policy Suggestions.The conclusions are as follows:(1)between economic growth and the industrial pollution in henan province show N type,U type,and other characteristics of EKC curve,is not only in the traditional inverted "U" type curve,shows the environmental kuznets curve will be different research areas and selection index to the present a variety of shapes.(2)Clean energy consumption and the improvement of the tertiary industry have positive external effects on the environment,while technological progress plays a dual role for the environment.Although it can reduce the discharge of waste water and waste gas,it also increases the discharge of solid waste.(3)The results of impulse response analysis show that the relationship between economic growth and industrial pollution is basically consistent with the results of EKC model,and industrial pollution also has a reverse inhibitory effect on economic growth.(4)The main performance of economic growth on the environment in Henan Province is the aggravation of waste gas and solid waste pollution.The negative effects of economic growth on the environment are far greater than the positive benefits that the environment can bring to the economy.The extensive economic development mode of energy consumption will become the resistance to economic development in the later stage.