| With rich mountain resources and superior climatic conditions,as well as good policies and market factors in the past 20 or 30 years,xunwu county has witnessed rapid development of local citrus planting industry and has become a dominant citrus main producing area in China.Citrus planting industry has become the pillar industry with the largest scale of planting,the largest number of employees and the most obvious comparative advantage in agricultural production in xunwu county,which has an important impact on local economic development,agricultural production level,farmers' living standard and the internal structure of the primary industry.This study based on China and xunwu related statistical data in 1991-2016,using the mathematical statistics and multiple linear stepwise regression,concentration coefficient and dynamic methods of deviation share model,respectively in xunwu citrus planting and development status,citrus planting of xunwu county farmers' economic life and the influence of the citrus plant to analyze the influence of xunwu county agricultural industrial structure.The results show that:(1)From 1991 to 2016,the development of citrus planting in xunwu county was divided into three stages.2008-2013 is a period of stable development;2013-2016 was a recession.Citrus planting occupies an absolute dominant position in the primary industry.Since 2002,citrus planting has been a pillar of the county's GDP.(2)From 1991 to 2016,citrus planting was an important factor affecting the per capita net income of farmers in xunwu county,followed by rice planting.The increase in per capita net income of farmers caused by the increase in citrus planting area accounted for 44.88% of the increase in net income since 1991.There was a negative correlation between the citrus planting area and the engel's coefficient in rural areas.For every 10,000 mu of citrus planting area increased,the engel's coefficient in rural areas decreased by 4 percentage points.(3)From 1991 to 2001,the development of citrus planting industry increased in fluctuation,and the concentration coefficient level was improved.From 2001 to 2009,the concentration coefficient increased rapidly,and the citrus planting in xunwu county expanded rapidly.From 2009 to 2016,the concentration coefficient decreasedsignificantly in the fluctuation,and the citrus planting industry entered the mature stage.(4)From 1991 to 2016,the overall agricultural development level of xunwu county was higher than that of ganzhou city,but the agricultural industrial structure was unreasonable;Planting industry is the fastest growing sector within the agricultural structure,while the other three sectors develop slowly.The overall competitive advantage of agricultural industry in xunwu county is stable.The structure and competitiveness of agricultural industry decline gradually with the passage of time.From 1991 to 2016,the four agricultural sectors in xunwu county were ranked according to their growth share: planting industry,animal husbandry,fishery and forestry.The internal structure of agricultural industry shows a strong imbalance.Planting industry occupies an absolute dominant position and is constantly strengthened.Secondly,animal husbandry and other two industries account for a small proportion. |
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