An Empirical Study On The Optimization Of Tibet's Industrial Structure

the adjustment of industrial structure to optimize the allocation of resources,and promote economic development plays an important role.Tibet as a national strategic resource reserve base and ecological protection barrier,Tibet in other parts of the industrial structure adjustment is faced with and the same problem,but there are also different from other regions.In order to actively promote the strategic industrial structure reform in Tibet and realize the leapfrog development of Tibet economy,enhancing industrial competitiveness,increase effective supply,thereby promoting economic rapid and healthy development of Tibet,so study on Tibetan industrial structure optimization problem.The writing of this paper to optimize the structure of industry of Tibet,prompted industry between allocation more reasonable;For the connection between the industry more closely,and promote the industry towards a new XingHua;For driving the industry sector income continuously improve,and promote the farmers' income;To promote the competitiveness of the industry,and promote the industry development has a certain reference value.Based on the combination of normative analysis and empirical analysis,mainly on the empirical analysis and normative analysis as the auxiliary analysis method;Statistical analysis and comparative analysis,combining with statistical analysis is given priority to,the comparative analysis of research methods;Combining qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis,is given priority to with quantitative analysis,qualitative analysis of the research methods.Study on Tibetan industrial structure optimization problem.To Tibet from 1986 to 2014,the region's GDP,the output value of production,the output value secundiparity,tertiary industry output value data as variables,first carries on the stationarity test,the results showed that the original data is not smooth,in carries on the second order difference data become stable.On the basis of stable data set on econometric model between the four variables.The Tibetan areas is GDP as explained variable,mass,secundiparity,tertiary industry output value as explained variable,respectively.Use EViews software,by stepwise regression method to eliminate the effects of collinearity,GDP and production output,the output value of secundiparity,econometric model between the tertiary industry output value.Then the goodness of fit of the model test,t test,Durbin-Watson test and F test,on the basis of the inspection through,it is concluded that the final about GDP,the output value of production,the output value secundiparity and econometric model between the tertiary industry output value.Analysis of the model,can be found that the development of the third industry is the most can promote the improvement of the region's GDP(the tertiary industry output value per increased by 1%,GDP increased by 0.1002849%),followed by the second industry,the second industry output value per increased by 1%,GDP increased by 0.993636%),again is the first industry(first industry every 1% increase GDP increased by 0.983636%),tallies with the actual situation of the economic development in Tibet.On the basis of quantitative analysis,the next five years in Tibet secundiparity industry,production industries,the tertiary industry output value point prediction,on the basis of the point prediction interval projections for Tibetan region gross domestic product.In the end,the conclusion and the present combination model with the actual conditions of Tibet,the Tibetan industrial structure optimization is put forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.