Research On The Development Potential Of China's Agricultural Products Export Trade From The Perspective Of The Belt And Road

Since ancient times,China has been a major producer of agricultural products.The production of agricultural products has attracted attention.With the exchanges between countries,agricultural trade has gradually developed.After China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001,the import and export volume of agricultural products continued to rise,and agricultural trade has become an important part of China's foreign trade.Statistical analysis of the import and export of agricultural products in China over the past few years reveals that there are opportunities and development opportunities for China's agricultural products trade.The total trade volume has basically increased year by year,the trade market has been continuously developed,and the types of trade have continued to increase.However,the deficit in China's agricultural trade has also been increasing and has even become the norm.The main reason is that China's agricultural export markets are relatively concentrated.Many countries and regions in the world only have a few trade contacts with China's agricultural products.The growth of agricultural exports is limited,and the terms of trade have gradually developed in unfavorable directions.Faced with this complex situation,China needs to expand new markets,develop new goals,and reposition itself.Conduct trade policy reforms,formulate new policies,and actively explore international emerging markets for agricultural products in order to achieve a sustained and healthy development of China's agricultural trade.On the basis of agricultural production,we will develop a large trading nation for agricultural products.Based on the above background,China should make full use of the “The Belt and Road” initiative to continue to optimize the development of agricultural products and related coverage of existing agricultural products,open up the “The Belt and Road” to cover the country's emerging markets,and increase the export competition between China and related countries in agricultural products trade.Advantages and trade potential,comprehensively explore markets along the lines of great potential for cooperation,and take the “The Belt and Road” train to open up a new phase of China's agricultural trade.Firstly,based on the trade data from 2002 to 2015,this article analyzes and summarizes the status quo of trade between China and the 47 countries associated with the “The Belt and Road” over the years.From the three perspectives of trade characteristics,structure and market distribution,it summarizes the normal trade between China and the “The Belt and Road” countries.Secondly,the stochastic frontier gravity model was used to measure the export efficiency and export trade potential of China's agricultural products from 47 countries,and analyzed the determinants of China's agricultural exports.Finally,relevant countermeasures and suggestions are proposed for the above research results,pointing out that foreign trade policies and strategies should be adjusted according to the actual situation.Some countries in the Asia-Europe Economic Belt and the Central Asia Economic Belt are our key markets and we should focus on how to stabilize them.For the Central Asian Economic Belt and the North African market,it is necessary to adopt a diversification strategy that focuses on how to promote trade with the market and how to develop the market.Trade parties will strengthen cooperation and exchanges,draw on each other's strengths,give full play to their own advantages,make up for their own shortcomings,and take their needs.