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An Empirical Study On The Impact Of Population Outflow On Economic Growth In Anhui Province

Posted on:2019-01-15Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L X JiaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2417330572964061Subject:Regional Economics
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Since the reform and opening up,China's population movement has become increasingly active.The economic strategy of developing the eastern region has made the population of the central and western regions flow to the eastern region,showing the development trend of“peacock flying southeast”.The outflow of population in the central and western regions,while promoting economic prosperity in the eastern region,has also led to a gap in the supply of labor in the central and western regions,thus inhibiting the coordinated development of China's regional economy.The work report of the 19th National Government pointed out that the main contradiction in our society is the contradiction between the growing needs of the people's better life and the imperfect development imbalance.Vigorously developing the rural economy and implementing the regional coordinated development strategy are among the many measures to resolve the imbalance between urban and rural development.As a province with relatively slow economic development in China,long-term large-scale population outflow has always been a bottleneck restricting its rapid development.The major impact of the large-scale outflow of population on Anhui Province is obvious.If we want to further develop the economy of Anhui Province at a new height and level,narrow the economic development gap in the central and eastern regions,and complete the historical responsibility of winning a comprehensive well-off society,The problem of population outflow in Anhui Province must be solved.Only by supporting a large number of young and middle-aged laborers needed for production and development,and continuously increasing the cultivation of the working population,and attracting high-quality talents at home and abroad through various preferential policies,the economic development of Anhui Province will have a huge room for improvement.Based on this background of the times,this paper studies the relationship between population outflow and economic growth in Anhui Province,and then finds countermeasures to solve the problem of population outflow in Anhui Province,thus gradually reducing the development gap between Anhui Province and other provinces in the eastern region.The further development of Anhui's economy.Therefore,in order to study the impact and restriction of large-scale population outflow on Anhui's economic development,the structure of this paper is roughly as follows:The first part is the introduction.It is mainly a general overview of the research content of this paper,including what methods are used to conduct research.What research results have been made by experts and scholars at home and abroad,and whether the research has value in this research.The second part is the concept definition and theoretical basis.Some important concepts in this paper do not form a unified opinion in the academic world.In order to avoid ambiguity,this paper defines and explains some related concepts.This paper studies the population outflow problem in Anhui Province based on the theory of population mobility and the theory of economic growth.The theoretical support has improved the scientific degree and credibility of this study.The third part introduces the current situation and causes of the problem of population outflow in Anhui Province.This paper starts from the aspects of the size,structure,flow and living conditions of the outflow population in Anhui Province,and finds that there are many problems in the outflow population of Anhui Province.The phenomenon of population outflow in Anhui Province contains complex and in-depth factors,mainly economic factors and cultural factors.With policy factors.Among them,economic factors are the main factors.The fourth part is the core part of this paper.It mainly studies the economic impact on Anhui Province by quantifying the outflow population.After performing a series of tests on the four models,the optimal regression equation is fitted,which minimizes the error of the equation and leads to more accurate conclusions.This paper takes the outflow population of Anhui Province as the research object,and conducts research by literature method,combination of qualitative and quantitative,comparative method and so on.The innovation of this paper is to refine the economic growth of Anhui Province into the economic growth of the first,second and third industries.By studying the different influences of the outflow population of Anhui Province on various industries,find out the problems,find the law,and provide direction guidance for the subsequent countermeasures..The shortcoming is that the research perspective of this paper is somewhat narrow.The understanding of the problem of population outflow in Anhui Province is still in its infancy,and many deep-seated things have not yet been discovered.Through empirical research on population outflows in Anhui Province,this paper finds that long-term large-scale population outflows have a negative impact on Anhui's economic growth.In order to reduce this negative impact and make Anhui's economy develop at a new height,this paper proposes the following countermeasures:adjusting the industrial structure,promoting the flow of surplus labor to the secondary and tertiary industries;and vigorously developing the first in rural economy.Industry;improve the investment level of agriculture in Anhui Province;strengthen the cultivation of outflow population in Anhui Province,improve the professional knowledge and skill level of the outflow population in Anhui Province;solve the problem of left-behind families brought about by the flow of people through continuous improvement of the social security system.
Keywords/Search Tags:population outflow, economic growth, Anhui province
PDF Full Text Request
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