Research On Inter-regional Industrial Transfer Affected By Labor Structure

Since the beginning of the new century,the issue of regional coordinated development has become increasingly prominent,our government has made a number of major strategic decisions to solve this problem.Industrial transfer has always played a decisive role in promoting regional coordinated development.On the one hand,it can promote industrial restructuring and upgrading;on the other hand,it can achieve industrial gradient development and optimize industrial distribution to achieve balanced development.From a practical situation,due to the advantages of policies and resources,the momentum of development in the eastern coastal areas of our country has been forming a typical "core-periphery" trend with the central and western regions.Under this pattern,in order to maintain the development superiority of the eastern region while taking full account of the development of the central and western regions,it is necessary to guide the eastern enterprises to orderly transfer to the central and western regions.However,in recent years,under the guidance of various policies,the envisaged wave of industrial transfer has not taken place in China.On the contrary,the willingness of foreign investors to invest in the central and western regions has dropped.The subsidy competition in the central and western regions has shown a vicious cycle;a large number of eastern coastal enterprises have been leaving,making Southeast Asia,Africa and other regions become new destinations for the industry transfer.One of the important factors driving these enterprises to invest overseas is the abundance of cheap labor resources in Southeast Asia and other countries.In contrast,with the continuous development of urbanization and the increasing aging in China,the labor force in our country has experienced a steady change in the total labor force,but the structure has undergone profound changes.In this context,we propose the core issues in this article:1.whether the changes in the labor force structure have increased the "subsidy threshold" for industrial transfer and affected the location choices of enterprises?2.If such to which extent the structural changes in the labor force may have affected inter-regional industrial transfer.To solve these two core problems,based on a comprehensive review of relevant literature at home and abroad,this paper examines the status quo of industrial transfer and labor force structure change in China through statistical data.From the point of view of new economic geography and the traditional "core-periphery" model,the paper explores the mechanism of the effect of labor force structure change on industrial transfer and finds that the proportion of urban-rural labor force has a significant impact on regional industrial transfer,which in turn has led to the"Subsidy threshold effect".Then this paper uses the panel data measurement model and the spatial measurement model to test the data of 31 provinces,autonomous regions,and municipalities directly under the central governrnment from 2000 to 2014.The results verify the conclusion of the model and further discover the "reverse reaction" effect of the secondary and tertiary industries' transfer on the changes of urban and rural labor force structure.Both the secondary and tertiary industries are affected by the spatial spillover effect caused by the labor force structure in urban and rural areas in varying degrees.Based on the conclusion of empirical research,this paper puts forward it is necessary to accelerate the transfer of the tertiary industry while improving the efficiency of the secondary industry.The policy proposals on the transformation of the labor force structure are mainly the differentiated labor force policy and the transfer-oriented labor force mobility policy.