Research On The Influencing Factors And Cargo Volume Forecast Of CHINA RAILWAY Express

With implementation of China "One Belt,One Road" initiative and increase of China EU trade volume year by year,CHINA RAILWAY Express have been in the critical period of strategic transformation and internationalization transformation from the initial stage of expansion to the development stage.Meanwhile,CHINA RAILWAY Express is also important tool as well as trade connecting link for the implementation of the "One Belt,One Road" initiative,and it also means a great significance to the economic development and city construction of China EU trade and port cities.In this critical stage of transformation and upgrading,it is necessary to make an overall forecast and plan for the future development of CHINA RAILWAY Express freight industry.At the same time,based on the characteristics of railway transport volume,fast speed,stable and reliable transport,as well as crossing many countries along the way,it can maximize the advantages of CHINA RAILWAY Express as an important trade link in Central Asia.From a strategic point of view,it is necessary to strengthen the research on the current situation of CHINA RAILWAY Express and forecast the future cargo volume.First of all,the first and second chapters of this paper describe the background significance of the topic,the research review at home and abroad,as well as the related theoretical concepts of CHINA RAILWAY Express and BP neural network prediction.Then,the third chapter analyzes the factors that affect the cargo volume of CHINA RAILWAY Express from the four aspects of supply,demand,competition and price,and points out that the current problems of CHINA RAILWAY Express,including poor connection between countries along the way,insufficient return goods,immature freight supply chain system,imperfect freight price system,etc.Based on the analysis of the third chapter,the fourth chapter selects the main influencing factors of the cargo volume of CHINA RAILWAY Express and establishes the BP neural network prediction model.Build the training network,predict the cargo volume of CHINA RAILWAY Express,and get the forecast results of freight volume of China Europe train in the next three years.Finally,based on the prediction results of the previous chapter,the fifth chapter concludes the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the freight service of CHINA RAILWAY Express,including regulating freight rates,promoting the integration of customs clearance,improving service standards and vigorously developing cross-border e-commerce business.