| With the rapid economic growth and the improvement of people’s living standards,people’s pursuit of spiritual culture is getting higher and higher.The island has become an important destination for many people to travel.China has a large number of islands,a wide variety of resources,and abundant resources.However,the island tourism has strong dependence on transportation demand,transportation demand has periodicity and volatility,transportation infrastructure construction has high investment,high risk,and the difficulty of coordination between external transportation and intra-island transportation.At present,there is no research on the optimization of traffic organization in island tourist attractions.Therefore,it is necessary to optimize the design of the traffic organization of island tourist attractions.Firstly,this paper gives the definition of tourism traffic and introduces the types of tourism traffic and the composition of transportation system,analyzes the characteristics of tourism traffic behavior,summarizes the problems of island tourism traffic,and lays a solid foundation for the later study of traffic organization optimization.Secondly,this paper explores the influencing factors of tourism traffic demand,and compares and analyzes the predictions of regression analysis,elasticity coefficient prediction method,gray model prediction method,time series prediction method,exponential smoothing prediction method,neural network model prediction method and market comparison method.The advantages and disadvantages of the method and the scope of application,combined with the research object and research background of the paper,select the appropriate traffic demand forecasting model.Finally,this paper expounds the objectives and principles of traffic organization optimization,analyzes the traffic system factors and non-traffic system factors of traffic organization,and finally focuses on the optimization of traffic organization of point(intersection)channelization,release mode and signal control.One-way traffic,variable traffic and trunk traffic signal coordination control lines(road sections)traffic organization optimization,regional traffic organization optimization measures,and Haihua Island in Hainan Province as an example to demonstrate. |