Study On The Threshold Effect Of Technological Progress On China’s Manufacturing Carbon Emissions From The Perspective Of GVC

The world economic development process has been accelerating and the problem of global warming has become increasingly serious.China is the largest processing plant in the world.It has penetrated the Global Value Chain(GVC)division of labor system and is also facing the dual pressure of international and domestic carbon emission reduction.Technological progress can promote energy conservation and emission reduction,and is the main way to achieve green and low-carbon economic development.However,a large number of empirical studies have shown that the effects of technological advances on carbon emissions are uncertain.To a large extent,due to China’s participation in the GVC division of labor,developed countries help China to complete lower-level process upgrades and product upgrades,improve production efficiency and energy efficiency,and promote technological progress to effectively curb carbon emissions;On the other hand,as China’s participation in GVC continues to deepen,when China achieves higher functional upgrades and chain upgrades,it will be controlled and locked by developed countries.Technological advances lag behind the speed of China’s extensive economic development.Bring greater carbon emissions.The producer-driven industry and the buyer-driven industry differ in their own characteristics in terms of organization and operation,and there are differences in the effects of both technologies through technological advances in reducing carbon emissions.In the perspective of GVC,we will explore the effects of technological progress on carbon emissions in two types of industries,and propose more comprehensive suggestions for technological progress to effectively curb carbon emissions.This paper uses the combination of theoretical research and empirical research to explore the threshold effect of technological progress on China’s manufacturing carbon emissions from the perspective of GVC.First of all,this paper explores the mechanism of the impact of technological progress on carbon emissions.Secondly,this paper uses global value chain theory and literature research method to further derive the threshold mechanism of technological progress on carbon emissions.In terms of empirical research,this paper intends to use the Hansen panel threshold regression model based on the data of the 13 manufacturing industries after the merger of China Statistical Yearbook and WIOD,using GVC embedding degree as a threshold variable,and empirical analysis of technological progress.The impact of technological advancement and technical efficiency on the threshold for manufacturing carbon emissions,taking into account the heterogeneity of the industry.The results show that as the degree of Chinese manufacturing participation in GVC continues to deepen,the impact of technological progress on carbon emissions has turned from negative to positive,and the impact of technical efficiency on carbon emissions has been negative,but its inhibitory effect has become weaker;buyer-driven Both industry and producer-driven industries are able to curb carbon emissions through effective technology efficiency,and the impact of technological advances in the buyer-driven industry on carbon emissions is negative.However,the impact of producer-driven manufacturing technology on carbon emissions has been positive.On this basis,this paper further analyzes the reasons for the differences in carbon emissions between the two through technological advancement.In order to promote the low-end and high-carbon lock-up of various industries in China’s manufacturing industry,it can promote technological progress in the process of participating in GVC.Reasonable countermeasures can be provided to avoid the environmental cost of high carbon pollution.