The Structural Path Analysis Of China's CO₂ Emission Transferred From Foreign Consumption Demand

With the rapid development of Chinese economy,carbon dioxide emission of China has been increasing rapidly.China has became the global largest emitter of carbon dioxide in 2009,the international society ask China to take greater responsibility of CO2 emissions in the world.However,it is unfair for developing countries to take the carbon emission responsibility with the universal "territorial principle" at present.In developed countries,historical emissions by the developed countries failed to be accountable,and the so-called"emission reduction" is achieved by transferring their high carbon emissions production to the developing countries.Based on the situation,the global framework of multi-regional input-output relationship should be built up to describe the carbon emissions transfer network.First of all,we construct MRIO table based on GTAP 9.All regions are devided into the developed countries and developing countries,Annex-B and non Annex-B countries in the Kyoto Protocol,big volume and obvious changes in the growth of carbon emission.We display the global carbon emissions transfer through three-dimensional graph and index method.Devoloped countries have huge impact on global emission,while developing countries has increased their power.Next,we will make a clear awareness that China keeps important position on global carbon emission export,especially in serving the final demand of developed countries.China is the largest exporter of carbon emissions in the world.Finally,this article finds the specific carbon emissions transfer paths of "foreign consumption,domestic production",and identify the "hot spot" in paths,whose carbon emissions have a key role in the transfer path.We use the structural path analysis,screening out thousands of maximum paths transfer emission to China from 14 countries or regions.The emission of paths caused by final demands from the United States and EU to the Chinese electronic equipment products,medical,precision and optical instruments and textile industry are relatively the largest.Chemicals,rubber and plastic products industry,steel refining and forging sector of China appear higher frequency,so they are important intermediate sectors in the path of carbon emissions transfer.Electricity supply and transportation are most important emission resource.Comparing the different transfer paths of each region,they can reflect the characteristics of their respective industries.The study of indirect transfer paths show that ASEAN provides a path for the final consumption of Europe and the United States to transfer carbon emission to China,while the United States and the EU also provide indirectly transfer paths to other countries less trade with China.The production duties of the world are being transferred to developing countries,especially emerging market countries.Developing countries take more responsibility of international production,and there should be more room for their carbon emission to growth.We can give some policy recommendations for low carbon development of industry in the future.China could redefine its carbon emissions responsibility to alleviate the enormous international pressure to reduce emissions.It is significant to help China make specific insustries emission reduction policies to achieve effective CO2 control.