| The coal bed methane(CBM)is a clean energy.Since 2007,the government has introduced a number of support policies to break the franchise,tax preferences and financial subsidies to encourage the development and utilization of CBM.Using CBM as fuel for power generation not only makes rational use of resources but also protects the environment.Developing CBM power generation industry not only has good economic and social benefits,but also conforms to China’s policy of developing clean energy and protecting environment.This paper studies deeply the research results of domestic and foreign scholars on the risk of project management,and also conducts an in-depth investigation on ma junyu CBM power generation project.On this basis,the risk factor index system of majunyu CBM power generation project was established,and analyzed the majunyu CBM power generation project by using the principal component analysis method,so as to deepen the study on the risk management of CBM power generation project.Firstly,this paper starts with the risk identification of majunyu CBM power generation project,established the risk identification list through on-site data collection and communication with relevant personnel of the government administration section of changzhi city.According to the identification of influencing factors in each stage of the development process of power engineering projects,including political risk,environmental risk,resource risk and financial risk on the project planning and project approval stage;including technical risk and market risk on the project design stage;including equipment management risk and quality risk on the project construction stage and operational management risks are included in the project management stage.The main influencing factors of risk management of CBM power generation project were screened and filtered,and the corresponding risk factor indexes were finally proposed according to the principles of scientific,oriented,integrative and modular,.Secondly,the impact index was analyzed and evaluated based on the established risk factor index.This paper uses the principal component analysis method analyzed the risk factors index of majunyu CBM power generation project in detail.By using statistics to calculate the sample correlation coefficient matrix,the variance contribution rate of the matrix was obtained,factors were extracted,principal components were extracted for risk factors,and factors with relatively large influence were screened and summarized,and then the conclusion was drawn.Finally,on the basis of the analysis conclusion,the measures for risk control and risk transfer ware derived about majunyu CBM power generation project,through policy prevention and control,building risk prevention and control,operation technology prevention and control,financial economy and operation management prevention and control.And the reasonable Suggestions to avoid risk ware put forward.In this research,the concept of project risk management was applied to the coal-bed methane power generation project,through the analysis of the risk identification,risk factors and risk analysis,prevention and control of the same type of investment enterprise can consult risk factors affecting the actual evaluation.Due to the complexity and different technology of the project,it should be adjusted synchronously according to the specific situation of the project,avoiding blind implementation and direct duplication.On the basis of increasingly mature domestic equipment technology and better operation and management,more sample accumulation can be obtained through more cases,we will strive to achieve more accurate risk prediction,more effective risk prevention and control measures and more standard project operation in the field of CBM power generation project. |