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The Measurement Of TFP And Analysis Of Influening Factors In Inner Mongolia Agriculture

Posted on:2020-10-03Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y D LiuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2370330578459001Subject:Statistics
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Agriculture is the foundation of national economy and the foundation of people's survival.With the development of national economy and the improvement of people's living standard,more and more agricultural products are needed.However,the contradiction between people's high demand and limited resources is becoming more and more prominent.The only solution is to improve the utilization rate of resources,that is,to improve the total factor productivity of agriculture.Therefore,the study of agricultural total factor productivity has important practical significance.Inner Mongolia is one of the important sources of grain producing areas in China.It plays an important role in food security in China.According to the relevant data of national statistics,the total planting area of crops in this area ranks fifth in the country,and the total output ranks the top 10 in the country.Based on the data and information related to agriculture in Inner Mongolia,this paper quantifies and studies the total factor productivity of agriculture in Inner Mongolia,and probes into the key influencing factors,and then puts forward corresponding countermeasures.The general framework of this paper is divided into three parts: the first part is the first chapter and the second two chapters,mainly combing and analyzing the research of domestic and foreign scholars,and introducing the relevant theory of economic growth.Then,it explains what TFP is and introduces four ways to measure TFP.This paper mainly uses DEA-Malmquist index method.The second part is the third and fourth two chapters.The first step is to collect the data and data related to agriculture in Inner Mongolia in recent years,and introduce the general situation of agricultural development in Inner Mongolia in terms of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery.Then,the paper studies the total factor productivity of agriculture in Inner Mongolia,and analyses the calculation results of total factor productivity of agriculture from dynamic and static aspects respectively: in dynamic aspect,the average total factor productivity of agriculture in Inner Mongolia from 2001 to 2017 is decomposed and analyzed from three perspectives of Inner Mongolia as a whole,three regional divisions and 12 League cities;in static aspect,the input and output of agriculture in Inner Mongolia in 2017 is analyzed.The comprehensive technical efficiency,pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency are decomposed and analyzed.Finally,based on the Tobit model,the keyfactors affecting the total factor productivity of agriculture in Inner Mongolia are measured.At the same time,the impact of a single indicator on its size and whether it is positive or negative correlation,and then provide a reference for the follow-up study.The third part is the fifth chapter,that is,countermeasures and suggestions.According to the research of the first four chapters,the following conclusions are drawn: industrial structure,adjustment coefficient of agricultural structure,per capita fiscal expenditure on agriculture and urbanization rate have positive effects on agricultural total factor technical efficiency,pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency.And these four variables have the greatest impact on agricultural pure technology efficiency,followed by agricultural technology efficiency,and the smallest impact on agricultural scale efficiency.The input of agricultural labor force has negative effects on the technical efficiency of agricultural total factors,pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency.And it has the greatest impact on agricultural technology efficiency,followed by pure agricultural technology efficiency,and the smallest impact on agricultural scale efficiency.
Keywords/Search Tags:Agricultural total factor productivity, Malmquist index method, Technological progress, Tobit model
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