With the rapid development of the global service industry,the level of specialization is constantlcy improving and the social division of labor is deepening.The producer services is separated from the manufacturing industry by outsourcing,and gradually formed the industrial agglomeration effect.The producer services is a kind of high cagglomeration,high knowledge,high radiation and high employment of modern service industry,with strong industrial relevance and the height of the human knowledge,intellectual capital intensive,and it plays an important role in promoting regional industrial competitiveness and promoting economic development.Chongqing is the only municipality in western China,it put forward in Chongqing’s "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" in2011: highlighting the function of Chongqing as a national central city,actively building the modern service industry in the western region,Vigorously develop high-end producer services,and striving to enhance the financial,logistics,transportation hub,commerce and other gathering radiation capacity and integrated service level.The agglomeration of producer services in Chongqing is becoming more and more obvious,which can bring new opportunities and challenges to economic growth.This paper studies the impact of agglomeration of producer services in Chongqing on economic growth,on the basis of reviewing the theory of producer services agglomeration,firstly,it analyzes the mechanism of producer services agglomeration affecting economic growth.Secondly,the descriptive statistical method is used to analyze the current situation of the agglomeration status of the producer services in Chongqing,and the real problems in the development of the producer services in Chongqing are analyzed.The regional entropy indicators are used to analyze the current situation of Chongqing from the overall and sub-Producer services agglomeration level of the measurement analysis,and the use of data envelopment analysis(DEA)for efficiency analysis.Finally,based on the time series data of Chongqing from 1997 to 2015,the vector autoregressive model is constructed to analyze the dynamic effect of the agglomeration of producer services in Chongqing on the economic growth.Based on the classical C-D production function,the production service industry The industrial agglomeration variable is introduced into the production function as an explanatory variable to construct the metrological regression model,and the influence of the agglomeration of the producer services in Chongqing on the economic growth is analyzed from the multi-factor influencing the economic growth.This paper draws the following conclusions from descriptive statistical analysis and empirical analysis:(1)The overall development of the producer services in Chongqing is relatively rapid.The industry team has grown steadily and relieved the employment pressure of the whole city.Compared with the development of the producer services in other developed regions,there are still someproblems in the development of producer services in Chongqing,such as the overall scale is small,the development of various industries is not coordinated,the lack of necessary funds and professional and technical personnel.(2)Chongqing’s producer services industry has shown a more obvious agglomeration phenomenon,and its location entropy is in the middle and upper level in the whole country.From the point of view of the industry,transportation and warehousing and postal services,finance,real estate,the higher the degree of agglomeration of different industries,the level of concentration of large fluctuations in some industries.(3)Chongqing’s producer services agglomeration has been in the scale of increasing returns trend,from the perspective of industry,in addition to the real estate industry in Chongqing,the remaining five industries are in the state of increasing returns to scale,and the development of the sub-sectors by 2015 there is no shortage of investment or lack of output situation,continuing to expand the industry scale to enhance the efficiency of agglomeration.(4)There is a long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between the producer services agglomeration and the growth of economic growth in Chongqing.In the case of lagging stage,producer services agglomeration is the Granger reason of economic growth.Chongqing’s producer service industry gathering will have a long-term positive response to economic growth,and will contribute more than 17.83% to the economic growth in the long term and will become more and more significant.The agglomeration of producer services in Chongqing will indeed promote economic growth.(5)There are long-term equilibrium cointegration relations between lnY and LQ1,LQ2,LQ2,LQ3,LQ4,lnL,lnK,EDU,OPEN variables in Chongqing,and the effect of each variable on economic growth in the short term and long-term equilibrium process The effect of the effect is consistent.Chongqing labor force investment lnL,capital investment lnK and economic openness OPEN will promote economic growth,and human capital EDU impact on economic growth is not significant.Chongqing’s transportation warehousing and postal services LQ1,the financial industry LQ2 and the real estate industry LQ3 agglomeration to a large extent to promote economic growth,and are the economic growth of the one-way Granger reasons.The impact of LQ4 on economic growth in scientific research,technical service and geological prospecting is not significant,but the industry agglomeration and economic growth are two-way Granger causality.Based on the above conclusions,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions:(1)expanding the scale of producer services agglomeration;(2)strengthening the training of professional and technical personnel in producer services;(3)enhancing the level of modern logistics services,innovaing and developing the financial industry,and steadily promoting the real estate industry;(4)optimizing industry structure,promoting the development of high technology service industry. |