A Simulation Study On The Evolution Path Of Emerging Industries From The Perspective Of Business Dynamic

Since our country carried out reform and opening up,the economic has developed rapidly.Especially the labor-intensive and handicraft-manufacturing traditional industries becomes the engine of rapid developed economic.However,from twenty-first century,with the rise of new industries,the development of traditional industries lags behind,and the utilization efficiency of resources is low.Therefore,the development of new industries is not only an inevitable requirement of the times but also an important driving force to promote economic development.In order to effectively promote the development of new industries,we should aware of the evolution path of emerging industriesIn recent years,there has been an endless stream of research on emerging industries.The existing literature on the emerging industry research is divided into two aspects,on the one hand,we should cultivate new industries through technological innovation,on the other hand,the traditional industries transform to emerging industries.The research on the development of new industries is mainly focused on the macroscopic level,and the micro-level of the emerging industry development factors is ignored.However,in the process of cultivating the development of new industries,we need to adjust the microeconomic policy factors to guide the development of new industries.The research at the macro level can't meet the requirements of guiding the development of new industries.In practice,during the early development the new technologies and enterprises did not get a correct guide and protection.These new technologies,new enterprises are likely to grow into a pillar industry in the future.Therefore,this paper explores the influencing factors in the process of the emerging industry from the micro perspective.This paper studies the evolution path of the emerging industry based on the business dynamic.Based on the literature research,this paper analyzes the theory of entrepreneurial synthesis,the evolution of new industries and the dynamics of the system,and defines the connotation of the evolution path of the new industry.Then,this paper analyzes the system dynamic applicability of the evolution path of emerging industries,and clarifies the causal relationship between the various factors in the perspective of business dynamic.The influence of business dynamic on the evolution path of emerging industries is analyzed theoretically.At the end of the article,through the simulation experiments we make an analysis.Using the data of electron and communication equipment manufacturing industry in our country,we simulate the emerging information industry evolution path,and describe the results of the analysis from three aspects.(1)Rapidly expanding the scale of the industry cannot effectively promote the development of emerging industries,on the contrary will lead to the emerging industry development incomplete.(2)The new venture which is created by the action of market opportunity is promising,but the new venture which is created by the action of policy opportunity is less promising.(3)Increasing government financial input exert more significant effect on the development of emerging industries.