Time And Space Pattern And Optimization Research Of Leisure Agriculture Festival Activities

Modern cities develop rapidly and people's life pressure grows day by day,in this context,the leisure agriculture has attracted tourists increasingly because people desire to return to nature and run away from the hustle and bustle of the city in their spare time.As the highlight and' an important part of the leisure agriculture,leisure agricultural festivals are the key to attract tourists.A lot of distinctive leisure agriculture festivals are organized in many rural areas,not only make the local economy more active,but also promote the local tourism image greatly.In view of this,the 22 Cities(District)in the southern area of Jiangsu are used as the research object and the comprehensive score of leisure agricultural festivals to characterizing the development level of the leisure agricultural festivals.With the applying of Theil coefficient and Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis,this paper has made some researches on leisure agricultural festivals' differences in levels of development and the spatial and temporal evolution laws in the southern area of Jiangsu in 2009 and 2014.Spatial Regression Model is used to evaluate dynamic mechanism from the quantitative and qualitative combining point of view.At the same time,some promotion strategies to help the healthy development are put forward according to the bottlenecks during the development of leisure agriculture festival activities in the southern area of Jiangsu.This paper has the conclusions as follows:?The number,duration and level of leisure agricultural festivals can reflect the level of development of leisure agricultural festivals in a certain extent.?The number of leisure agricultural festivals in the southern area of Jiangsu have a significant growth after five years of development.But the development of leisure agricultural festivals in the southern area of Jiangsu is not balanced and exist obvious regional differences.Plenty of leisure agricultural festival activities are concentrated in the limited city(district),the city domains which the development of leisure agricultural festival activities is better are formed spatial pattern of agglomeration basically.The GDP weighted overall difference and the population weighted internal differences in five cities are decreased.The population weighted overall difference and the internal differences in five cities increased by a big margin.The difference values of the level of development of leisure agricultural festivals by two weighted methods were decreased.? Global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the level of development of leisure agricultural festivals in adjacent spatial units of southern area of Jiangsu have large differences.The trend of high-low interval distribution has strengthened as time goes by.The local geographic spatial also reflected that there is obvious dependence and characteristics of agglomeration.The type of spatial correlation mainly appeared to "LH" type and "HL"type,and the percentage of "HL" type is higher.Su,Xi,Chang and Zhenjiang city(district)as the center of "HL" Type cluster.At the same time,the spatial structure of the level of development of leisure agricultural festivals in the southern area of Jiangsu Province has certain path dependence.?The influencing factors of the development level of leisure agricultural festivals mainly include seven aspects:economic development level,government policy support,the status of tourism development,ecological environmental quality,industrial structure,culture media,external and internal traffic development.In these factors,there are three sub-factors which are per capita disposable income,direct tourism income and the proportion of regional good air quality days annually have strong influence to the development of leisure agricultural festivals activities.?Optimization promotion strategies have been put forward from six aspects of leisure agricultural festivals activities such as theme,active participation and experience,culture mining and promotion means to help leisure agricultural festivals activities develop healthy.These strategies have certain practical significance to the development of leisure agricultural festival tourism in the southern area of Jiangsu.