Research On The Optimal Path Of Economic Growth Under The Constraint Of Carbon Emission Reduction Targets In Inner Mongolia

The Paris agreement reached in 2015,already set a new goal for the future greenhouse gas emission reduction,and also put forward higher requirement to the development of China's economy.As a big country of coal production and consumption,the environmental pollution caused by fog and haze has gradually appeared in different provinces in china.Therefore,the development of low-carbon economy can not only reduce the excessive loss of resources but also reduce the pressure on the environment.However,as one of the highest carbon emissions countries,our country wants to develop economy at the same time take minimize damage to the environment,which must bring carbon dioxide emissions in the first place,which requires strict restrictions on carbon dioxide production,trade in society and consumption of economic activities in the process of discharge.With such a big background,the world economy in transition from the "high carbon" to "low carbon",our country wants to maintain economic growth in a high speed at the same time the implementation of the provisions of the emission reduction targets has become a serious the challenge,which needs national and provincial government planning.Therefore,exploring economic growth under the restriction of low carbon and environmental resources is an important topic of the current study.This paper,which is based on the carbon emission reduction targets proposed by the state in 2020,and combined with the actual development of Inner Mongolia,analyzes the optimal path of economic growth under the constraint of carbon emission reduction targets.It includes six parts.The first part elaborates background,significance,content,methods and possible innovations.The second part summarize the basic concepts and theory,and the related literature at home and abroad,concluding the latest research trends which lay the theoretical basis for the following analysis.The third part calculates the carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia and analyzes the current situation of carbon emissions and economic growth.The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions.The conclusion is that there is a co-integration relationship between the two,and in the short term,it fluctuates but from the long run it is stable.The fifth part,analyzes the optimal economic growth path in Inner Mongolia under the low carbon constraint.By introducing the new variables energy to the Ramsey model,it sets up the dynamic equation with energy intensity which is determined by the Cob forms-Douglas production function to solve the equation by using sequential quadratic programming to get the optimal economic growth path.Then simulate The R&D investment Path?The Economic growth Path?The Carbon intensity Path and The Carbon emissions Path.The conclusion is that the decrease in the strength of carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia is at the expense of the lower levels of economic growth.When the proportion of consumption in output reaches sixty percent,the utility value of the society welfare member reaches to the maximum.When under the control of the carbon intensity,the carbon emissions peak appears in advance and the corresponding value is reduced.At the same time,the carbon intensity of Inner Mongolia in 2020 is 2.01,which fell by 9.45% comparing with 2.22 in 2005,fail to reach the target.So we need to strengthen the intensity of R&D investment,so as to promoting the improvement of technical progress rate.Besides,the rate of energy consumption also slows down under the control of carbon intensity,thus reduce the carbon emissions directly.At the end of this article,in combination with the theoretical and empirical analysis above,the author puts forward to the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.