Risk Analysis Of Decision-Making Stage Of Pension Real Estate Development Based On Gray Fuzzy Evaluation

China’s elderly population growth is fast,the elderly account for the elderly,the elderly family empty nest,alone to accelerate,not the first of the old national conditions make the old industry this emerging industry came into being.Pension real estate has a good development prospects,but compared with the ordinary real estate,pension real estate complex,need to invest more money and personnel,which led to investment in old-fashioned real estate is often more than the risk of ordinary real estate development strategy stage The whole process occupies an important position,so only to control the development of pension management decision-making stage of the investment risk can reduce development costs and reduce unnecessary losses in order to find a new area in the pension market to gain a foothold.In this paper,we introduce the theory of the old-age real estate and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model which can alleviate the old-age pension pressure,and combine the risk of the real estate development decision-making stage and the special risk factors of the decision-making stage of the old-age real estate development.Gray Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model.Through the use of AHP analytic hierarchy process(AHP),the important factors of influencing factors are obtained,which can help to control the risk factors in the development decision-making stage,analyze and solve the main sensitive factors,and combine the gray fuzzy evaluation model The risk of the development stage of a pension project development stage,the developer can be based on the results to measure the size of the project to be developed,the role of a certain reference,the article concludes a brief description of several common pension real estate development Risk Avoidance in Decision-making.Through the risk analysis of the decision-making stage of the old-age real estate development,the risk reduction and the promotion of the good development of the old-age real estate can not only bring huge profits to the development enterprises,but also have important significance to solve the housing problem of the elderly and promote the harmonious development of the society.