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Under The Background Of Slowing Down, The Optimization Approaches And Countermeasures Of Structure Of Labour Force To Promote The Sustainably Steady Growth Of Chinese Economy

Posted on:2017-05-01Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y YangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2349330488452987Subject:Western economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Due to the change of China's population age structure,demographic dividend is waning,the surplus labor force transfer between the industry and region bring narrowing of the wage gap and labor costs have risen sharply.Demand continues to shrink on international markets andtrade protectionism has appearing.the rapid growth of Chinese economy after 30 years seem to have entered slow channel,the growth from past falling nearly 10%to 6.9%in 2015.From the structural growth stage to structural deceleration,it is meet with general rule of the world economic development,also poses challenges and opportunity to the current China's economic sustainable growth.This paper argues that,despite the slowing trend is inevitable and in the background of slowdown,the potential of China's economy is still huge.From the perspective of labor structure,this paper explores the labor structure optimization to promote China's sustained economic growth and make some countermeasures and avoid possible to slow down too quickly in the stage of an economic slowdown,the problem such as "middle-income trap",at last achieve the smooth transition of growth stage.Firstly,this paper analyzed about the present situation of China's economic development,so that make the basic judgment for China's economic development stage.This paper first analyzes the major economies in the world and found that both developed countries and emerging economies,economic growth will experience a process from speed to slow,this seems to be a general fact of world economic development.Thenfrom the actual situation of China's economy,after the analysis of China's per capita GDP from 1978 to 2014 found that China's economic growth has obvious cyclical,but by moving average trend line,we found that a significant decline in GDP per capita.Thus this paper argues that China's economic growth seems to have entered a slow channel,China's economic speed from high tomedium and high.Secondly,from the two dimensions of labor structure to analy China's economic growth use the way of statistical analysis and empirical analysis respectively.In this paper,the number of labor force structure subdivided into the employment structure,the structure of urban and rural structure and the age structure of labor.labor structure of human capital quality.The human capital to refer to quality of labor force structure.Through the statistical analysis of the employment structure,we found that as a substitute for the employment structure,the variable structure deviation index is generally larger.The employment structure has serious lag in the adjustment of industrial structure that explain the timely and effective adjustment,the employment structure make resource allocation more efficient,is good for economic growth.Selection of Chinese provincial data from 2000 to 2013 as sample model and panel regression analysis.The study of population bring-up ratio and human capital on economic growth found the labor structure number of age structure and quality of labor force structure has a significant correlation to economic growth,the dependency ratio of population and economic growth is a significant negative correlation,the human capital on economic growth is a significant positive correlation.In addition,through into the control variables one by oneand found some control variables to explain is obvious binding,and some are not significant.Finally,according to an analysis of the articles and background of China's economic growth to slow down to promote labor structure optimization countermeasures and put forward some suggestions,such as improving the labor market system,promoting the employment structure and industrial structure coordinated development;Increase investment in education,speeding up human capital accumulation;We will deepen reform of the population policy,improve the labor supply.
Keywords/Search Tags:economic growth, quantity of labor force, the quality of labor force
PDF Full Text Request
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