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Study On The Trend Of Population Development In Liaoning Under The New Urbanization

Posted on:2018-02-10Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y T XuanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2347330515959386Subject:Human Geography
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Throughout the course of global economic development,urbanization is an inevitable result of the social and economic development of a country or region to a certain stage.The improvement of the level of urbanization will help solve the "three rural issues",to provide the infrastructure more perfect and more perfect social security for the urban population,is conducive to the improvement of people's living standard and consumption level.Entered in twenty-first Century,China's urbanization rate significantly accelerated in 2011,China's urban population for the first time exceeded the rural population,which means that China officially entered the era of urban economy.The population is the core of social and economic development,is the key factor of sustainable development,to accurately grasp the situation of the population is the basic work of realizing the rapid economic development of Liaoning Province,characteristics,a comprehensive understanding of changes in the population and the trend of future development,is conducive to better seize the opportunity and meet the challenge.In order to study the problem of population,it is necessary to analyze the process of population development.A reasonable forecast of the population,can accurately grasp the future population changes and development trend,can accurately predict the negative effects of population development in economic and social development,take the new situations and new problems of positive and effective measures to deal with the emerging,and the population and society better economic coordinated development and sustainable development.In this paper,under the background of urbanization development trend forecast of Liaoning province population in the future 5 years,based on the sixth 2016 China statistical yearbook statistical yearbook,and census data of Liaoning province in 2016,using grey correlation,Malthus population forecast model and the Logistic population forecast model to forecast the future of Liaoning province population and to analyze the situation of the population and development trend the urbanization in Liaoning Province,and put forward the corresponding suggestions for the relevant departments for reference.The innovation of this paper is to predict the urban population in Liaoning province by using a linear prediction model,calculate the urbanization rate over the next 5 years the regression equations were used to forecast the urban population and the urbanization rate of the total population of Liaoning province in 2016-2020 count,and the development trend analysis.Have a Conclusion.
Keywords/Search Tags:New Urbanization, Population forecast, Population model, Liaoning Province
PDF Full Text Request
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