A Study On The Reproductive Desire Of On Child-Bearing-Age Populationafter "70years" In The Background Of "Comprehensive Two-Child"

Since the implementation of family planning policy in the 1970 s in China,The birth rate has presented the trend of sharp drop,the momentum of fast population growth under control.After 30 to 40 years of population change,however,at present our country population total fertility rate has been below replacement level,and the population ages,birth population sex ratio imbalance,and the acute shortage of manpower,it has gradually affected the stability of China’s economic and social sustainable development.In order to solve the social problems facing this a series of population,determination of the fifth plenary session of the party’s 18 made out two child policy decision.For two child policy can achieve the desired effect,insight into the current reproductive population childbearing willing is very necessary." the 1970 s " as one child under the family planning policy of the main groups,but also on a "two child policy" last bus of the "long" in a group,how will their childbearing willing to China’s future population growth to plays a very important role.Based on this study of changsha city,hunan province,the integrated use of traditional culture theory and the theory of rational choice theory,security system,adopting the research methods of combining quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis,from the second child birth intend purpose and intention,to breed the gender of changsha " the 1970 s " a child of this special group of childbearing age crowd,analyzing the present situation and problems of fertility intentions and affecting the " the 1970 s " one-child reproductive population childbearing willing factors of empirical research.This study will " the 1970 s " second child birth of a child of childbearing age crowd intention as the dependent variable,the traditional culture factors,security system,rational choice factors as independent variables,through descriptive analysis,binary Logistic regression analysis,the relationship between the dependent variable and independent variables and control variables,the basic conclusion is: the traditional culture(pressure)elders,security system,rational choice(economic condition and physical condition)factors such as the second child birth will have significant impact.And on this basis,the influence of changsha city and even the whole country " the 1970 s " one-child reproductive population fertility intentions are discussed,the basic advice is put forward to further weaken the traditional cultural concept,perfecting the social security system and establish birth two children compensation fund.