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Study On The Development Model Of New Energy Industry Based On Game Theory

Posted on:2017-03-27Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:C C LiangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2309330485494730Subject:Probability theory and mathematical statistics
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The rise of new energy industry’s impact on China’ energy market, as well as traditional energy industry how to deal with the new energy industry projections, will be related to disorders of Energy Market Order. It’s like two populations, and a thriving population live in this land, and reached a stage of steady-state population, if a new population Want to develop on the same piece of land, what strategy need to be taken? The original populations how to resist by facing of the impact of new populations? There are for results : new populations victory、victory older population、the two groups at each other as well as the impact of the destruction of the two groups were able to harmony, to achieve mutually beneficial symbiosis. We certainly hope that the new energy industry and traditional energy industry to achieve a final result, the two industries in the medium and long term be able to live in harmony, and jointly safeguard the stability of energy markets.Firstly, the article established a competitive energy industry competition model based on population under. I passed Population Characteristics literature energy special populations, obtained Logistic population growth model under natural conditions do not apply energy populations, therefore, be considered in this article under conditions having an inner inter-specific competition effects and inhibitory effects of species to populations competitive Lotka-Volterra equation model, By comparing the population characteristics of two energy stocks, assumptions appropriate parameters, the stability of solutions of the model are analyzed, discussed for technological innovation, competition and demonstration effect coefficient and other parameters, how to analyze the scope of the impact of competitive equilibrium used comparative market economy different energy market development under the next government regulation, propose an important role in the government balance in the energy market this argument.Secondly, this article established a new energy industry cluster evolutionary game model based on the new energy industry cluster under the control of the government. I suppose the proper parameters, using game theory Game obtain government population and new energy industries Population policy space payoff matrix, derived both replicator dynamic equations, find a stable solution of equations and gain stabilityanalysis. Analyzed under different government policy conditions, new energy industry manufacturers and its behavioral characteristics of the game more clearly the role of government in the regulation of energy markets, the establishment of local government energy policy and supporting administrative regulations and oversight mechanisms necessary. My numerical simulation and stability analysis to verify the availability of the model, and concluded that only in the local government’s favorable policy support and appropriate regulation of the local energy market to be able to orderly development.Finally, the article established a three groups of evolutionary game model based on government, new energy industry manufacturers and sellers of new energy industry. The development of new energy industry is in its infancy, only in ensuring the sound development of its industrial chain mechanism premise, can be based on the energy market, For the new energy industry chain their core business manufacturers and retailers, this is the game theory model to study three groups of evolution stable strategy space utilization parameters appropriate assumptions, obtained tripartite Game payoff matrix, obtained three groups the replicator dynamic equations for different parameters at stable point, simulated evolution of the manufacturer and vendor strategies, provide a reference for the three.
Keywords/Search Tags:Population competition, industrial cluster, evolution game theory, replicator dynamic equation
PDF Full Text Request
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