Research On The Prediction Of Liuyang Fireworks Industry Practitioners Of Supply And Demand

Liuyang fireworks is a "dynamic arts and crafts" and" visual culture feast", is the people deeply in the heart of folk custom and cultural memory. As the cradle of fireworks and grain, Liuyang fireworks is famous in the world, Known as "the world fireworks cannon Liuyang, Liuyang fireworks cannon the world", is a beautiful card of China and hunan province in the world. After1400years of development, Liuyang fireworks has now become the government of hunan province key support one of the top50industrial cluster and the economic development of Liuyang backbone industry. In2012, the National Bureau of Statistics for the first time included fireworks in the national cultural industry statistics directory, Liuyang fireworks industry marked by traditional chemical industry usher in a new historical opportunity to upgrade to the cultural and creative industries. But also faced with how in an increasingly grim situation of safety and environmental protection, achieved by selling chemical products to sell cultural products transformation, selling products to selling cultural transformation.Human resources are the primary resources, lack of personnel support has restricted the Liuyang fireworks industry restructuring and development across the key issues of cultural and creative industries.To successfully achieve the transition to the cultural and creative industries, we must research the need for human resource demand and supply forecasting of Liuyang fireworks, to achieve these goals, in order to take measures to gather sufficient human resources and reserves.In this paper, based on the human resource prediction correlation theory, by analyzing the status quo of Liuyang fireworks industry practitioners, finding out the problems existing in the configuration of liuyang fireworks industry practitioners, collecting historical data Liuyang fireworks industry, then introduced and established the regression forecasting model and grey prediction model, over the next few year, the number of Liuyang fireworks employees supply and demand and structure were predicted. Finally combining the reality of Liuyang fireworks industry, proposed to strengthen the protection of Liuyang fireworks industry practitioners path.This paper argues that the significant positive correlation between the Liuyang fireworks industry practitioners and total output value, predicts2014-2020Liuyang fireworks industry professionals demand by establishing a linear regression model, the result is166thousand、186thousand、209thousand、236thousand、266thousand、 301thousand、341thousand respectively; predicts2014-2020Liuyang fireworks practitioners supply by establishing grey GM (1,1) prediction model, the result is166.7thousand、186.4thousand、208.4thousand、233thousand、260.6thousand、291.4thousand、325.8thousand respectively.Although the total supply and demand gap in a reasonable range, the structural shortage of talent performance significantly, the professional and technical personnel and management talent gap is large.To strengthen the Liuyang fireworks industry human resource security, should vigorously change the concept of human resources fireworks industry, striving to perfect the system of professional talent market fireworks, the full implementation of the strategy is introduced fireworks industry personnel, strongly promote the project of cultivating fireworks industry talent, committed to optimizing the fireworks industry talent development environment.