Retail Business Climate Index Evaluation Index System Research

With the rapid development of China’s market economy, whether or growth rate of economic growth have been increased,China’s retail business enterprises have made great development. But in its continuous development at the same time, the process also appeared many problems. For example, the lack of long-term strategic planning of the development of retailing, disorderly phenomenon is more serious, the development of the retail management and statistical system is not perfect, logistics and distribution obviously lag behind the development of the retail industry, unified distribution rate is low and distribution technology content is low, poor enterprise operation standardization, technological competitiveness, and to competitiveness is still relatively weak. How to build an index system composed of a path for the retail enterprises in our country (market) is described in the index is particularly important. This article will do some discussion from this Angle, and hopes to macroeconomic policy makers, investors, managers of retail business enterprise to provide decision-making reference.This paper uses literature analytic method, system analysis method, comparative analysis method and the principal component analysis method, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, based on the system combing the domestic and foreign related research literature, explains the theoretical basis for business climate index, discusses the compilation method of retailer industry boom index, and in Harbin City empirical analysis. The full text mainly is divided into five parts:Chapter one:Expatiated the research background of this thesis and meaning, System has combed the relevant literature boom index research about domestic and foreign, introduces the research methods and innovation. Chapter two:Study on the business climate index of retail related concepts, including the boom, boom index, boom analysis, business cycle, prediction, commercial, retail commercial etc of the connotation and denotation of Conduct the definition. Chapter three:Explain constructing the theoretical basis of the retail commercial prosperity index system, including the economic cycle theory, economic early warning theory and economic theory, these theory lays a theoretical foundation for constructing the prosperity index system after the paper, and make a theoretical explanation for the empirical analysis of the volatility. Chapter four:Screening of the retail business index and determination are studied systematically, based on the existing evaluation index system, and discusses the method of boom index screening, the retail business indicators, discusses the preparation methods of retail business climate index.Chapter five: Construction of the Harbin retail business prosperity index system of the time difference correlation analysis and K-L information method, then determined, consistent and lagging indicators, Harbin city from2005to2010to calculate the index of each quarter, the Harbin retail business conditions in the empirical analysis, and put forward suggestions for improvement boom index.The innovation of this paper lies in taking Harbin city as an example, to build a retail commercial prosperity index system, using principal component index equation to construct analysis method, the Harbin retail business climate index, and the Harbin city retail business condition to carry on the empirical analysis, I hope to provide a new train of thought for the business climate index.