The Research On Flows And Protentials Of Chinese Broiler Products

China is a large country in production of broiler products. In 2013, the total production of Chinese broiler products is 14100000 tons, accounting for 16.88% of the world’s total broiler production, after America’s 16341000 tons, ranking second in the world. In recent years, the status of Chinese broiler industry in the livestock industry is more and more important, in 2012, the output value of broiler industry is 247.838 billion yuan, accounting for 9.12% of the total output value of livestock industry. However, Chinese broiler products export is facing many problems such as a small amount of exports, export volatility and high degree of dependence on Japan. Therefore, study on the factors affecting Chinese broiler products export and Chinese broiler products on which countries have export potential are very meaningful, which is the focus of this paper:Research on the outlet flow and potential of Chinese broiler products based on the gravity model.Firstly, this paper has conducted the research to the Chinese broiler products’ production, consumption, imports and the status in the international. The results show that the China is a large country in broiler products’production, small country in importing, large country in total consumption, but the per capital consumption is low.Then, focus on the exporting situation of Chinese broiler products. Not only analyzes the exporting volume and its position in the international, but also analyzes the country and product structure of Chinese broiler products’ exporting. The results show that the China is a small country in broiler products exporting, exports accounted for only 3.98% of total world exports in 2013. Chinese broiler products are mainly exported to Japan and Hongkong. China mainly exports processed broiler products.Final, this paper based on the panel date of China with 17 countries which importing broiler products from 2005 to 2013. Establish the gravity model for researching the factors which influenced the Chinese broiler products exporting trade and developmental potential. The results of the study show that the value of Chinese broiler products exporting is positively correlated with the output value of China’s livestock, the total GDP of the importing country, the total population of the importing country, and negatively correlated with the absolute distance between the two countries, the difference between the two countries in per capital income, RMB exchange rate of the importing country’s currency. At the same time, the two countries share a common boundary has a promoting effect on Chinese broiler products exporting. Chinese broiler products also have great export potential in Iraq, Vietnam, Belgium, Malaysia, Pakistan, Macao, South Korea, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Singapore and Denmark.