Study Based On The Influence Of Labor Cost Changes On Vegetable Export Trade Of Shandong Province

In recent years in Shandong province of rising labor costs, labor cost is one of the important factors for the development of vegetable industry., therefore, based on the labor cost and vegetables export trade as the research object, from two aspects of theory and empirical analysis of changes in labor cost in Shandong province vegetable export trade influence, and to promote the reasonable suggestion was put forward for the vegetable export competitiveness in Shandong province. The main conclusions are as follows:(1) Based on the theory of international trade and related concepts, combined with labor costs and vegetables exports of related literature at home and abroad, this paper expounds the changes in labor cost vegetable exports in Shandong province. As a labour-intensive vegetables production and processing industry, labor costs rise, making vegetables production costs rise, will be compressed export earnings. Under cost pressure, the product export prices also rose, in possession of comparative advantage in the trade will gradually weaken, the international competitiveness of export products.(2) Through the analysis of total exports, export volume and export price, export market, export categories to illustrate the trade situation of vegetable exports in Shandong province. Analysis showed that Shandong province vegetable exports continue to increase, the average annual growth of 7.37%, and exports of only about 3% of production, export potential; Total exports, rising steadily, accounts for the first; Unit price rising trend, general export efficiency improved; To effectively expand the export market, such as asean, Japan, South Korea, further consolidate the existing market at the same time, expanding the market of Africa and Latin America; Has grown to more than 100 different kinds export, mainly in east China’s Shandong province high quality vegetables are effectively promote the overall exports. Vegetable production to promote the growth of the stability of the vegetables exports rose, vegetable planting area of Shandong province has a certain scale advantage, vegetable production and yield per unit area increased year by year.(3) In Shandong province, the geographical position is superior, transportation convenience, the rich germplasm resources, advanced production technology, combined with the broad prospects of the international market, the vegetable exports in Shandong province has a certain development potential; Shandong province vegetable exports trade specialization index and export growth advantage index showed that Shandong province vegetable exports has certain international competitiveness.(4) Labor costs increased year by year, in Shandong province from 1990 to 2013 in Shandong province, the worker’s average annual wage growth by an average of 14.56% a year. In Jinan and Qingdao tomatoes, cucumber, eggplant, cabbage, pepper, cabbage, potato and other 7 kinds of main outdoor vegetable varieties in the production of the total cost and artificial cost, for example, average labor costs per unit area by 11.04% year on year growth, accounting for the total cost of the vegetable production per unit area ratio also increased year by year; Labor costs per unit of production also increases 10.25% a year. Analyzed the influence factors of labor costs increase, such as labor supply, minimum wage system, the social security system, the implementation of the labor contract law, the cost of living and the population and the rising cost of education by the education level, the stimulation of economic growth, rural surplus labor force reduction. Labor cost growth of Shandong province as a whole at the same time the actual labor productivity from 1990 to 2013 has been a 9.62% annual pace, with worker year of average wage calculation unit Labour costs overall trends of stable, most of the year are in unit Labour costs between 0.5 and 0.6.(5) With data from 1996 to 2013 as sample, on Labour costs change effect on vegetable exports in Shandong province, the empirical analysis, linear regression model is set up, use eviews software the OLS estimates, using stationarity test, cointegration test, granger causality test to analyze the change of labor cost impact on the export of vegetables. According to the empirical analysis shows that in the long run, labor costs rose 1%, the corresponding vegetables exports up by 0.001005%. For such influence, from the efficiency wage theory, capital and technology to replace the labor factor theory and unit labor cost theory to explain.According to the theoretical and empirical analysis, in the face of rising labor costs, from the three aspects of government, industry, enterprise gives reasonable Suggestions to cope with the rising labor costs, enhance competitiveness of vegetable export trade in Shandongprovince countermeasures.