A Study On The Methods Of Risk Evaluation For Patent Technology Transfer Projects

Patent technology transfer is a necessary step for converting patent technology to practical productive forces. The risk in the process of the patent technology transferring directly affects the amount, efficiency, cost and proceeding of successful implement of a patent technology transfer project. Therefore, a study on the methods of risk evaluation for patent technology project becomes a hot research focus. Preventing and reducing the risk in the process of the patent technology transferring is of great significance for accelerating patent technology transfer and even the national economy.This thesis, based on patented technology transfer project as a research object and guided with preliminary theories of risk management and related research achievements at home and abroad, aims to penetrate the current situation and problems of implementing the patent technology transfer projects in our country. And then it studies on identification and evaluation for the patented technology transfer process by means of gray system theory and sophisticated analytic hierarchy process. Risk factors appearing in patent technology transfer project are then recognized from the perspectives of commercial risk and management. Then with fuzzy clustering method the recognized risk factors are to be classified by the degree of their intimacy. At last it concludes that there are five risk factors existing in the patent technology transfer project: degree of technological merits, cooperation, laws, environment and organization management. With the five factors as the primary evaluation index and the other sixteen as the specific three levels of objects’ risk evaluation index system are then set up. With the gray system risk evaluation process and risk evaluation model are constructed. Here the WIMAX in S company is taken for example. With a practical analysis the implement plan of WIMAX patent technology transfer are given a comprehensive evaluation and then the best plan comes into being and the risk factors are arranged from primarily to secondarily.