| According to international standard,Liaoning province has been an aging societyon1995,which is five years earlier than the country and it will reach19.62%on2025indicating the aging population would be an increasingly perilous situation in the futurefor Liaoning province.In this case,the strategy named old industrial base in NortheastChina and regional economic growth of Liaoning province will be affected.Based on the fruits of scholars abroad and inside,this article analyses the currentsituation of aging population in Liaoning province and discovers the number of agingpopulation is large and growing fastly.In addition,it’s regional distribution is uneven.Onthe basis of pre-analysis,this article employs the G(1,1) model to predict the proportionof Liaoning province’s aging population from2015—2025and draws a conclusion thestatus of aging population is becoming worse over time.Secondly,this article analysesthe growing proportion of aging population’s impact on the regional economic growthby SPSS conic regression model.At the same time,this article tries to find out thecorrelation between consumption etc. and aging population and in which way agingpopulation affects the regional economic growth through gray relational.In view of the theoretical analysis and practical results,this article comes to aconclusion that the aging and the regional economic growth tend to be invertedU-shaped curve;The gray correlation degrees of proportion of aging population andconsumption,investment and net exports are bigger than other factors.That means agingpopulation has a significant effect on the three major parts of economy growth inLiaoning province.Finally,this paper makes suggestions,such as adjusting industrialstructure,improving the social security system and the structure of export trade forreducing the impact of aging population and promoting the regional economic growth. |
