The Research Of Economic And Technological Cooperation Between China And Iran In Post-Iran-nuclear Crisis Era

At present, with the advancement of economic globalization, economic globalization has become the important trend of the world ec onomy. Countries around the world through foreign trade, capital flows, technology transfer, providing services, make the cooperation more frequently, stronger economic interdependence. China as a world power and the Middle East between the powers of Iran, also for the frequent economic and technical cooperation, the two countries’ economic dependence gradually strengthened.Iran is located in the "three continents five sea", is out of control of the strait of Hormuz, and the "air corridor" of transportation in the east and west, is in the east Asia must travel to get to the European road, the geographical position has important strategic position. At the same time, Iran is the world’s energy power, oil and gas is very rich, by the end of 2014, 157. 8 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, reserves of 34 trillion cubic meters, 9.3% of the world’s total reserves and 18.2% respectively, ranked fourth, first world. Oil and gas production are listed in the Forefront of the world, daily capacity of 3.614 million barrels of crude oil, natural gas 500 million cubic meters. Plus, 1980 U.S. official diplomatic relations, the Iranian nuclear issue, and the outbreak of the Iranian nuclear crisis of 2002, the Iran sanctions. All of these make Iran has become the focus of the world, the risks and opportunities coexist. Therefore, when make cooperation of the economic and technical, fully understanding the Iran the truth, making an in-depth study of Iran, to determine the main factors affecting the economic and technological cooperation between China and Iraq, Which is of great significance to the economic and technological cooperation between China and Iran.Based on the latest information and data, the paper, uses the method of literature research, AHP, entropy method, comprehensive evaluation model and grey prediction model and other research methods, in the Iranian economic and technical cooperation after the Iranian nuclear crisis is studied. Firstly, considering the definition of the Iranian nuclear crisis, after the c haracteristics of the times, the main the problem; Secondly, considering the current situation of Iran’s economic development in the era of change, the problems and environmental conditions; Then, making a research of general situation, opportunities and challenges of economic and technical cooperation between China and Iran in Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era; And then, to consider the potential of economic and technical cooperation between China and Iran before Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era, it designs the evaluation index system of the economic and technical cooperation between China and Iran, which make a prediction of the after Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era based on Previously potential data. Finally, put forward to advice of promoting economic and technical cooperation between China and Iran, and carries on the research summary. By the system analysis, the main conclusions are as following:(1) The concept of Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era. The Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era is Iran and the Iranian nuclear issue, the six countries(the United States, Britain, France, Russia, China and Germany) reached a comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear, in accordance with the requirements of the comprehensive agreement, Iran fulfill their commitments to reducing enr iched uranium reserves, a substantial reduction in agreement related to the number of centrifuges, and the international community to verify Iran to fulfill relevant protocols based on, Europe and the United States immediately most lift sanctions against Iran, which enables the international community to enter the era of relatively stable, but meaning that the nuclear crisis completely lifted, still exist many uncertain and unstable factors, is a relatively mild and unknown turbulent era of coexistence.(2) With the change of Iran’s economic development environment condition, the Iran’s economic situation compared with the previous improved in Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era, but there are still a lot of problems: the attractiveness of the investment increasing, but the capital and technology still existing demand gap; economic recovery slowly, sluggish growth; Industry foundation weak, the structure is single; investment ability is insufficient, Lack of investment capacity, lack of funds, industrial technology behind.(3) The opportunities of the economic and technical cooperation between China and Iran in Post-Iran-nuclear crisis era more than the challenges. From the view of the opportunity, international economic sanctions have been lifted, the risk of domestic economic cooperation reducing; providing opportunities for foreign investment in a thousand things wait to be done, the domestic policies and regulations continues to be improved, which increases the attraction to foreign capital; China domestic economy is facing a lack of demand, downward the pressure rise, which make it urgently need to develop overseas market; "China Belt and Road Initiative" strategy is to push the West. From the view of the challenge, the international financial environment, politic al risk is still high; big investment in Iran more intense competition, Iran trust and fascination with western countries; Iran domestic investment environment is fragile.(4)The development potential of the economic and technological cooperation between China and Iran Overall upward trend, and it will continue to increase in the future, but the importance of the potential of it make a change. From 2010 to 2014 years, the development potential index for economic and technological cooperation although some fluctuations in Iran, but overall still upward trend, rising from 0.5770 in 2010 to 0.8326 in 2014, an increase of 0.2556. In the composition of the comprehensive potential, the impact of the economic potential and the market potential is greatest. From 201 5 to 2019 years, the development potential index of the economic and technological cooperation between China and Iran is Overall upward trend, rising from 0.8200 in 2015 to 1.1930 in 2019, an increase of 0.3730; but in the form of comprehensive potential, Economic potential dec lines, market, the potential of resources, policy and social and cultural increase, but the increase is not the same, which the impact of potential of resources and social- cultural is greatest.(5) Put forward countermeasures and suggestions for promote economic and technological cooperation between China and Iran. Firstly, Actively coordinating and communicating with all countries, the execution of the Iranian nuclear agreement should be supervision and maintenance. Secondly, prominent China’s own characteristics and advantages, enhance the international competitiveness of it. Thirdly, strengthening communication with the Iran government, form economic cooperation mechanism, improving the Sino-Iranian cooperation environment. Fourthly, To change Iran’s perception of the "made in China, the supervision of product manufacturing must be more supervision. Fifthly, accelerating the establishment of the cross-border RMB payment system(CIPS), implementing RMB settlement between China and Iran. Sixthly, setting up a special risk assessment team of economic and technological cooperation between China and Iran and establishing risk warning mechanism.