Research On The Evolution Of The Shipping System Based On CAS Theory

The shipping system is made up of land transportation, ports, shipping and ship companies, lanes and shipping related elements constitute an organic whole. With the globalization of economy, the world shipping development faster and faster, with its status in the global economy is becoming more and more high, thus gradually become experts and scholars’ attention and research hot spot. Previous studies mainly by applying complex network theory, focus on the composition, structure, characteristics and evolution of the network of shipping law and so on. These studies for our deep understanding of network structure and evolution of shipping law provides a great help, but in today’s world in the process of rapid development of shipping, shipping complex relationship both cooperation and competition between businesses, as well as the development of world economic, political, etc all make shipping development in macro reflect a more complex behavior of dynamic evolution, presents the evolution process of nonlinearity, uncertainty and complexity of self-organizability, adaptability and other characteristics. Therefore, in order to explore the world by sea highlight characteristics in the process of system evolution, as well as the deep motivation of system evolution and trends in the future development of the shipping system, need from the perspective of overall, systematic view and analysis of the evolution of world shipping system. In the theory of complex adaptive system (CAS) have put forward a new theory of evolution thought in the system of the interaction between the subject and between subject and the environment is the ultimate cause of system evolution. Application of CAS theory, this paper studies the evolution of the world shipping system process, analysis influence shipping system development, the key influence factors in the process of evolution, to guide the development of career of our country shipping, promote Marine power to provide the reference in our country. In this paper, the main content includes:(1) Outlines the theory of complex adaptive system, expounds the basic principle and modeling process of the echo model theory.(2) defines the concept of world shipping system, and analyzes the basic characteristics of world shipping system. According to the seven basic elements of the complex adaptive system theory, explores the world of complex adaptive system of shipping. Analysis shows that the world shipping system is a kind of typical complex adaptive system, and on this basis to build the world’s concept of complex adaptive system model of shipping.(3) through the echo model of the construction of shaft radial container shipping network, the container shipping network port between the main body in the evolution process and the process of action between subject and environment, the port main body itself adaptive process, etc., through body node degree and betweenness index has carried on the detailed explanation, for shaft radial container shipping network become much more complex adaptive evolution process is clear, clear the key influence factors in the process of evolution.