Downtown Parking Demand Forecasting Methods

Downtown parking the causes of the problems is the level of urban economy growth too fast, parking area demand grows beyond the old business district of space to accommodate the theory capacity maximum, and downtown PeiJian facilities in the building process to the existing parking capacity lack of accurate estimate, so the corresponding contradiction produced, in the face of parking berth demand forecasting model is more and more, but one of them according to the demand of the downtown parking is less, and the downtown of land resources are very nervous. This study is based on the starting point. Purpose is established in downtown parking demand for solving method of predicting, and strive to maximize the accurate calculation parking garages demand, the ease of the present situation of business district land nervous.This research mainly is aims at the downtown puts forward the element method for producing rate parking demand forecasting. Establish complete with land use for the business section of the initial framework model parking demand forecasting model, model combining business district parking demand characteristics of itself, to establish a parking demand model, and choose to add to meet the requirements of influence factors, land use, and the economy in the population, and the use of auto manufacturing calculation, family income distribution calculation method. Using this model calculation of the parking demand forecasting can be used as the number of garages downtown parking lot PeiJian reference data. Finally, this paper is on the analysis of all kinds of business on the basis of factors related with the combination model, and the paper first traffic network impedance to parking demand is revised, through the data fit establish road resistance parking correction model to predict the accuracy of the demand for the parking garage amended.